[UPDATED R2]. Prediction, H2H of Matteo Arnaldi’s draw vs De Minaur, Kotov, Rublev, Sinner, Djokovic, Alcaraz to win the Australian Open

Australian Open draw preview with H2H - Matteo Arnaldi may need to topple Alex De Minaur, Pavel Kotov, Andrey Rublev, Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, Carlos Alcaraz to conquer the tournament in the Australian Open.

Matteo Arnaldi Stats info

Matteo Arnaldi is 6 wins away to conquer the title at the Australian Open. Matteo has defeated Adam Walton 7-65 6-2 6-4 to reach the 2nd round where he will face Alex De Minaur.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Matteo Arnaldi’s projected draw alongsidehislikely opponents at the Australian Open. Matteo has a negative record (0-3) against the plausible opposition.

R1 – Adam Walton (174) – 7-65 6-2 6-4
R2 – Alex De Minaur (10) – H2H 0-0
R3 – Pavel Kotov (65) – H2H 0-1
or Flavio Cobolli (100) – H2H 3-1
R4 – Andrey Rublev (5) – H2H 0-1
or Sebastian Korda (26) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Jannik Sinner (4) – H2H 0-0
or Karen Khachanov (15) – H2H 0-0
1/2 – Novak Djokovic (1) – H2H 0-0
or Stefanos Tsitsipas (7) – H2H 0-0
Fin – Carlos Alcaraz (2) – H2H 0-1
or Daniil Medvedev (3) – H2H 0-2
Arnaldi
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Draw

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R2 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

47 - 21win/loss in 2025

Rank
9
High
6
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0
2017 37-28 21-11 2-5 2-4 8-5 4-3

Alex De Minaur has a 4-1 record in 2024, he played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 10 years, the Australian has a 156-81 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

De Minaur’s best result of this current season was reaching the semifinal Australia.

Last year at the Australian Open Alex surrendered to Novak Djokovic in the 4th round 6-2 6-1 6-2.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alex De Minaur

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Alex De Minaur since this would be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

R3 – Pavel Kotov’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Pavel Kotov

20 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
86
High
50
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 20-25 9-11 11-9 0-4 0-1 0-0
2023 45-32 13-14 20-12 9-2 3-4 0-0
2022 37-20 5-3 20-9 12-8 0-0 0-0
2021 29-25 5-5 7-11 17-9 0-0 0-0
2020 12-10 0-0 0-1 12-8 0-0 0-1
2019 35-29 7-5 19-16 9-6 0-0 0-2
2018 38-21 5-4 26-12 6-3 0-0 1-2
2017 46-15 14-3 15-6 15-5 0-0 2-1

Pavel Kotov has a 3-1 record in 2024, he played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 4 years, the Russian has a 26-23 record on hard.

Last year at the Australian Open the Russian lost to Tallon Griekspoor in the 1st round 6-3 7-6(3) 6-3.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Pavel Kotov

This contest would be 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Pavel Kotov play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kotov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Matteo Arnaldi could fight against Flavio Cobolli. Their H2H record is 3-1 for Matteo Arnaldi.

R4 – Andrey Rublev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Andrey Rublev

43 - 26win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
5
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-26 26-11 11-6 6-7 0-2 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0
2020 41-10 17-4 10-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 54-27 28-14 8-5 16-5 2-3 0-0
2018 21-24 10-12 2-3 9-9 0-0 0-0
2017 48-33 19-11 11-11 12-9 6-2 0-0

Andrey Rublev has a 5-0 win-loss record in 2024, he played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 12 years, the Russian has a 170-86 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

His best result of this year was winning the competition in Hong Kong where he overcame Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year at the Australian Open Andrey capitulated to Novak Djokovic in the quarter 6-1 6-2 6-4.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Andrey Rublev

This match would represent the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Andrey Rublev square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

However, Matteo Arnaldi may come up against Sebastian Korda. Their head to head record is 0-0.

1/4 – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

73 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, he played all matches on hard. Talking about the last 7 years, the Italian has a 99-41 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year at the Australian Open the Italian was overcome by Stefanos Tsitsipas in the 4th round 6-4 6-4 3-6 4-6 6-3.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Jannik Sinner

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Jannik Sinner since this would be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Nonetheless, Matteo Arnaldi could square off with Karen Khachanov. Their head to head record is 0-0.

1/2 – Novak Djokovic’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

37 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-9 15-5 16-3 1-0 5-1 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0
2020 41-5 26-1 11-1 4-3 0-0 0-0
2019 57-11 26-6 15-3 9-2 7-0 0-0
2018 53-13 23-4 11-5 8-3 11-1 0-0
2017 32-8 10-3 12-4 2-0 8-1 0-0

Novak Djokovic has a 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, he played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 21 years, the Serbian has a 529-84 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year at the Australian Open Novak won the event after ousting Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5).

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Novak Djokovic

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Novak Djokovic since this would be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

However, Matteo Arnaldi may square off with Stefanos Tsitsipas. Their head to head is 0-0.

Final – Carlos Alcaraz’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Carlos Alcaraz

54 - 13win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
1
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 54-13 22-5 17-4 7-3 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 18-10 3-2 15-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2018 6-2 0-0 6-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Carlos Alcaraz has a 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, he played all matches on hard. As for the last 7 years, Carlos has a 76-20 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year at the Australian Open the Spaniard didn’t compete in this tournament.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This would be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Carlos Alcaraz clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Matteo Arnaldi could take on Daniil Medvedev. Their H2H is 2-0 for Daniil Medvedev.