H2H, prediction of Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi at the Australian Open with odds, preview, pick | 17th January 2024

PREVIEW. Melbourne. De Minaur and Arnaldi will play each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 17th of January

Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Matteo Arnaldi

Alex De Minaur and Matteo Arnaldi will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on Rod Laver Arena. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.127
Matteo Arnaldi -> 6.05

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Matteo Arnaldi

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur

4 - 1win/loss

Hard
4-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
9
High
6
LLLWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 47-18 19-6 10-5 11-6 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 10 (career-high), Alex got to the 2nd round after defeating Milos Raonic 6-76 6-3 2-0 ret..

In the 1st round against Raonic, the Australian had a free pass after Raonic retired on a 6-76 6-3 2-0 . scoreline.

De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (322-188). 4-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an overall 156-81 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

De Minaur’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Australia.

The Australian has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

De Minaur
Australian Open
De Minaur's Record

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi
Matteo Arnaldi

4 - 2win/loss

Hard
4-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
38
High
30
LLLWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0
2020 17-9 16-4 0-1 1-3 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Matteo reached the 2nd round after beating Adam Walton 7-65 6-2 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Walton (7-65 6-2 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 110 points vs Walton’s 96. Arnaldi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 52 winners.

About the serving games, Arnaldi bagged 16 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 63% of his first serves in, winning 72% (52/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Walton 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Arnaldi has a compiled 4-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

Arnaldi
Australian Open
Arnaldi's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.De Minaur
M.Arnaldi
1h:55
1h:55
Time on court​
2h:36
2h:36
1h:55
1h:55
Last match​
!
2h:36
2h:36
1
1
Match played
1
1
24
24
Games Played​
31
31
4
4
Set played​​
3
3
81
81
Total points​
110
110
81
81
Avg point​
110
110
35
35
Winners
52
52
35
35
Avg Winners​
52
52
43%
43%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
10
10
Aces
16
16
10
10
Avg Aces
!
16
16
1
1
Double Faults
1
1
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
35/41
35/41
1st won total​
52/72
52/72
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
24/39
24/39
2nd won total​
21/42
21/42
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
2/3
2/3
BP won
5/13
5/13
2/3
2/3
Avg BP won
5/13
5/13
!
67%
67%
Won
38%
38%
4
4
Conceded
11
11
4
4
Avg Conceded
11
11
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2
2
4
4
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Arnaldi
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 4 3
Tot Games 24 31
Pts 81-69 110-96
Total Points 150 206
Winners 35 52
%Winners 43% 47%

Both De Minaur and Arnaldi played 1 match. At the moment, Alex De Minaur lost 1 set while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t surrendered a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set more than Arnaldi (4 vs 3). However, it’s interesting to notice that De Minaur played 7 games less than Arnaldi. Alex scored 35 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo recorded 52 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Arnaldi
Aces 10 16
Avg per match 10 16
1st in 41/80 72/114
%1st in 51% 63%
1st pts 35/41 52/72
%1st pts 85% 72%
2nd pts 24/39 21/42
%2nd pts 62% 50%

De Minaur recorded 10 aces . Arnaldi made 16 aces . De Minaur won 85% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Arnaldi
Won 2 5
Converted 2/3 5/13
% Converted 67% 38%
Conceded 4 11
Saved 4 9
% Saved 100% 82%
Times Broken 0 2

The Australian broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The Australian had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 4 break points. Matteo broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Arnaldi conceded his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R1
Raonic
Total
Score 6-76 6-3 2-0 ret.
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 24 24
pts 81-69 81-69
Total points 150 150
Winners 35 35
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 41/80 41/80
% 1st in 51% 51%
1st pts 35/41 35/41
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 24/39 24/39
% 2nd pts 62% 62%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/3 2/3
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 4/4 4
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Arnaldi
R1
Walton
Total
Score 7-65 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 110-96 110-96
Total points 206 206
Winners 52 52
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 16 16
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 72/114 72/114
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 52/72 52/72
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 21/42 21/42
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/13 5/13
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 11 11
Saved 9/11 9
Saved % 82% 82%
Times Broken 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
De Minaur
LLLWWWLWWW
Arnaldi
LLLWLWLWWL
2024 2023 2022
47 - 18
28 - 26
19-6
Hard
17-13
11-6
I Hard
0-2
10-5
Clay
10-9
7-1
Grass
1-2

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

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