Elise Mertens and Emma Navarro will square off in the final of the Hobart International for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.66
Emma Navarro -> 2.23

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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Emma Navarro

There is no head to head record between Elise Mertens and Emma Navarro since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Elise Mertens

Ranked no. 29, Elise got to the final after beating Danielle Rose Collins 6-2 6-3, Anna Schmiedlova 6-2 6-3, Arantxa Rus 7-5 6-0 and Daria Saville 6-4 4-6 7-5.

In the semifinal, Mertens defeated Gavrilova (6-4 4-6 7-5). During the match, Mertens and Gavrilova scored the same amount of points (100). However, the world no. 29 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Elise was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mertens made 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 67% of her first serves in, winning 74% (50/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Elise broke Gavrilova 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belgian has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Mertens has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (340-205). 5-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mertens has an aggregate 184-103 match record in the last years on hard.

The Belgian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Hobart.

The Belgian has an overall 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hobart

Emma Navarro

Ranked no. 31 (career-high), Navarro got to the final after defeating Clara Burel 4-6 6-3 6-3, Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-3, Viktoriya Tomova 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Yue Yuan 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal, Emma had a good straight sets win against Yuan (6-4 6-3). During the match Navarro scored 68 points vs Yuan’s 57. Navarro was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Navarro bagged 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Emma Navarro was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 73% (27/37) of her 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Yuan 3 times after converting 33% of her break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Navarro has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Auckland and Hobart.

The American has a composed 7-1 win-loss record in 2024, 7-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hobart

Navarro has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mertens	Navarro
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	10
Tot Games	84	92
Pts	292-227	345-284
Total Points	519	629
Winners	114	148
%Winners	39%	43%

Both Mertens and Navarro played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elise Mertens dropped 1 set, while Emma Navarro surrendered 2 sets. Mertens has played 1 set(s) less than Navarro (9 vs 10). Therefore, Mertens played 8 games less than Navarro. Elise scored 114 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 148 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mertens	Navarro
Aces	15	7
Avg per match	3.8	1.8
1st in	151/249	212/306
%1st in	61%	69%
1st pts	114/151	148/212
%1st pts	75%	70%
2nd pts	51/98	45/94
%2nd pts	52%	48%

Mertens recorded 15 aces (3.8 per match). Navarro bagged 7 aces (1.8 per match). Mertens won 75% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Navarro won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mertens	Navarro
Won	20	19
Converted	20/38	19/47
% Converted	53%	40%
Conceded	21	30
Saved	14	21
% Saved	67%	70%
Times Broken	7	9

The Belgian broke her opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Belgian dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 19 times with a 40% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Mertens
	R1 Collins	R2 Anna Schmiedlova	1/4 Rus	1/2 Gavrilova	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-2 6-3	7-5 6-0	6-4 4-6 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	17	17	18	32	84
pts	62-40	60-34	70-53	100-100	292-227
Total points	102	94	123	200	519
Winners	19	22	23	50	114
%Winners	31%	37%	33%	50%	39%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	3	4	15
Double Faults	2	4	6	4	16
1st in	25/41	26/41	32/65	68/102	151/249
% 1st in	61%	63%	49%	67%	61%
1st pts	19/25	22/26	23/32	50/68	114/151
% 1st pts	76%	85%	72%	74%	75%
2nd pts	8/16	9/15	19/33	15/34	51/98
% 2nd pts	50%	60%	58%	44%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	5	5	4	20
Converted	6/10	5/8	5/11	4/9	20/38
Converted %	60%	63%	45%	44%	53%
Conceded	3	2	7	9	21
Saved	1/3	1/2	6/7	6/9	14
Saved %	33%	50%	86%	67%	59%
Times Broken	2	1	1	3	7

Navarro
	R1 Burel	R2 Frech	1/4 Tomova	1/2 Yuan	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-3	6-3 6-3	4-6 6-3 6-2	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	10
Tot Games	28	18	27	19	92
pts	111-92	68-51	98-84	68-57	345-284
Total points	203	119	182	125	629
Winners	49	31	41	27	148
%Winners	44%	46%	42%	40%	43%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	1	4	7
Double Faults	2	3	4	1	10
1st in	73/104	40/56	62/95	37/51	212/306
% 1st in	70%	71%	65%	73%	69%
1st pts	49/73	31/40	41/62	27/37	148/212
% 1st pts	67%	78%	66%	73%	70%
2nd pts	14/31	8/16	13/33	10/14	45/94
% 2nd pts	45%	50%	39%	71%	48%
Breaks
Won	5	4	7	3	19
Converted	5/11	4/12	7/15	3/9	19/47
Converted %	45%	33%	47%	33%	40%
Conceded	16	2	12	0	30
Saved	13/16	1/2	7/12	0/0	21
Saved %	81%	50%	58%	–	47%
Times Broken	3	1	5	0	9

Tennis Scores in Hobart

• Ulises BlanchBlanch – Gianluigi QuinziQuinzi (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elise MertensMertens – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction