Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina will play each other in the semifinal of the Adelaide International for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.32
Daria Kasatkina -> 3.4
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 6-1 6-0 in the quarter in Tokyo back in 2023.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Pegula got to the semifinal after defeating Bernarda Pera 4-6 6-2 6-3 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-71 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter against Pavlyuchenkova, Pegula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-71 7-5 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 108 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 107. Jessica was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula made 9 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 58% of her first serves in, winning 75% (50/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (22/48) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Pavlyuchenkova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (301-166). 3-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has a composed 189-91 match record in the last years on hard.
The American has an aggregate 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Kasatkina reached the semifinal after beating Claire Liu 6-4 6-3, Anna Kalinskaya 5-7 6-4 7-5 and Laura Siegemund w/o.
In the quarter, Darya defeated Siegemund (w/o). During the match Kasatkina and Siegemund scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 5 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Russian was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Kasatkina was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Daria Kasatkina conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Darya has a composed 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 53 |
| Pts | 219-209 | 194-180 |
| Total Points | 428 | 374 |
| Winners | 94 | 75 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Both Pegula and Kasatkina played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula surrendered 2 sets, while Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set. Pegula has played 1 set more than Kasatkina (6 vs 5). Therefore, Pegula played 9 games more than Kasatkina. The American scored 94 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 75 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 1 |
| 1st in | 135/227 | 122/177 |
| %1st in | 59% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 94/135 | 75/122 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 42/92 | 19/55 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 35% |
Pegula scored 16 aces (8 per match). Kasatkina scored 2 aces (1 per match). Pegula won 70% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 61% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 35% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 14 |
| Converted | 11/29 | 14/31 |
| % Converted | 38% | 45% |
| Conceded | 26 | 28 |
| Saved | 20 | 18 |
| % Saved | 77% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 10 |
The American broke her opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded. Kasatkina broke her opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | ||||
| R2 Pera | 1/4 Pavlyuchenkova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-71 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 35 | 62 | |
| pts | 111-102 | 108-107 | 219-209 | |
| Total points | 213 | 215 | 428 | |
| Winners | 44 | 50 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 9 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 68/112 | 67/115 | 135/227 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 44/68 | 50/67 | 94/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 75% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/44 | 22/48 | 42/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/21 | 5/8 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 63% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | 26 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 10/13 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 77% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Kasatkina | |||||
| R1 Liu | R2 Kalinskaya | 1/4 Siegemund | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 5-7 6-4 7-5 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | – | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 34 | – | 53 | |
| pts | 77-65 | 117-115 | – | 194-180 | |
| Total points | 142 | 232 | – | 374 | |
| Winners | 28 | 47 | – | 75 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 40% | – | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | – | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 7 | – | 12 | |
| 1st in | 41/64 | 81/113 | – | 122/177 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 72% | – | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 47/81 | – | 75/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 58% | – | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/23 | 10/32 | – | 19/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 31% | – | 35% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 9 | – | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 9/19 | – | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 47% | – | 45% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 20 | – | 28 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 12/20 | – | 18 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 60% | – | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 | – | 10 | |
Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Mikael YmerYmer (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Filip HoranskyHoransky (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction