Jelena Ostapenko and Ekaterina Alexandrova will play each other in the semifinal of the Adelaide International for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.68
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 9th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Ostapenko won 7-6(3) 6-7(6) 7-5 in the 1st round in San Diego back in 2023.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 4-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Jelena reached the semifinal after defeating Sorana Cirstea 2-6 6-2 6-4, Caroline Garcia 6-4 5-7 6-4 and Marta Kostyuk 7-5 6-3.
In the quarter, Jelena had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (7-5 6-3). During the match, Ostapenko scored 71 points vs Kostyuk’s 56. The Latvian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 2 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 70% of her first serves in, winning 71% (36/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Kostyuk 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jelena has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (287-191). 5-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has an aggregate 124-99 match record in the last years on hard.
Jelena has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-4 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the Russian reached the semifinal after defeating Magda Linette 3-6 7-68 7-5, Veronika Kudermetova 6-4 6-4 and Elena Rybakina 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Rybakina (6-3 6-3). During the match Alexandrova scored 72 points vs Rybakina ‘s 62. Alexandrova was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Alexandrova fired 6 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 79% (26/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 32% (8/25) on the 2nd serve. Ekaterina broke Rybakina 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Ekaterina has an aggregate 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 72 |
| Pts | 273-251 | 255-224 |
| Total Points | 524 | 479 |
| Winners | 121 | 107 |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% |
Both Ostapenko and Alexandrova played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko surrendered 2 sets, while Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 1 set. Ostapenko has played 1 set more than Alexandrova (8 vs 7). Therefore, Ostapenko played 7 games more than Alexandrova. Jelena scored 121 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina scored 107 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 170/281 | 146/230 |
| %1st in | 60% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 121/170 | 107/146 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 50/111 | 31/84 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 37% |
Ostapenko fired 10 aces (3.3 per match). Alexandrova managed to score 17 aces (5.7 per match). Ostapenko won 71% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 14 |
| Converted | 13/32 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 41% | 52% |
| Conceded | 30 | 22 |
| Saved | 21 | 13 |
| % Saved | 70% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 9 |
The Latvian broke her opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Latvian conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. Ekaterina broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Alexandrova conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||||
| R1 Cirstea |
R2 Garcia |
1/4 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 21 | 79 | |
| pts | 90-84 | 112-111 | 71-56 | 273-251 | |
| Total points | 174 | 223 | 127 | 524 | |
| Winners | 35 | 50 | 36 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% | 51% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 10 | 2 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 53/91 | 66/117 | 51/73 | 170/281 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 56% | 70% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 35/53 | 50/66 | 36/51 | 121/170 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 76% | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 21/51 | 11/22 | 50/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 41% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/14 | 4/6 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 29% | 67% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 10 | 5 | 30 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 7/10 | 3/5 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 70% | 60% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Alexandrova | |||||
| R1 Linette |
R2 Kudermetova |
1/4 Rybakina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-68 7-5 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 20 | 18 | 72 | |
| pts | 110-100 | 73-62 | 72-62 | 255-224 | |
| Total points | 210 | 135 | 134 | 479 | |
| Winners | 44 | 37 | 26 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 51% | 36% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 61/99 | 52/73 | 33/58 | 146/230 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 71% | 57% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 44/61 | 37/52 | 26/33 | 107/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 71% | 79% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/38 | 7/21 | 8/25 | 31/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 33% | 32% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/5 | 5/13 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 80% | 38% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/7 | 6/8 | 5/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 29% | 75% | 71% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWWW
LLWWWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Mikael YmerYmer (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Filip HoranskyHoransky (6-4 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
