Elise Mertens and Daria Saville will square off in the semifinal of the Hobart International for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.53
Daria Saville -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Daria Saville
This will be the 7th time that Elise Mertens and Daria Saville play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Mertens won 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in Hong Kong back in 2023.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 17-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Mertens reached the semifinal after beating Danielle Rose Collins 6-2 6-3, Anna Schmiedlova 6-2 6-3 and Arantxa Rus 7-5 6-0.
In the quarter, Elise had a good straight sets win against Rus (7-5 6-0). During the match, Mertens scored 70 points vs Rus’s 53. The Belgian was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mertens recorded 3 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (23/32) of her 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belgian broke Rus 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points she played.
Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (339-205). 4-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has an overall 183-103 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Belgian has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hobart
Daria Saville
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-22 | 16-9 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 12-13 | 6-8 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-20 | 20-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 195, Gavrilova reached the semifinal after beating Anna Blinkova 3-6 6-4 6-4, Sofia Kenin 7-63 6-1 and Lin Zhu 3-6 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter against Zhu, Daria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Gavrilova scored 91 points vs Zhu’s 81. Gavrilova was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Gavrilova struck 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Daria Saville lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gavrilova put 71% of her first serves in, winning 60% (33/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the 2nd serve. Daria broke Zhu 6 times after converting 43% of her break points (6/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Daria has a composed 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hobart
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2013. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 75 |
| Pts | 192-127 | 261-224 |
| Total Points | 319 | 485 |
| Winners | 64 | 106 |
| %Winners | 33% | 41% |
Both Mertens and Gavrilova played 3 matches. At the moment, Daria Saville conceded 2 sets while Elise Mertens hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mertens has played 2 set(s) less than Gavrilova (6 vs 8). Therefore, Mertens played 23 games less than Gavrilova. The Belgian scored 64 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Gavrilova recorded 106 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 6 |
| 1st in | 83/147 | 173/238 |
| %1st in | 56% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 64/83 | 106/173 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 61% |
| 2nd pts | 36/64 | 34/65 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 52% |
Mertens scored 11 aces (3.7 per match). Gavrilova managed to score 18 aces (6 per match). Mertens won 77% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Gavrilova won 61% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Gavrilova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 17 |
| Converted | 16/29 | 17/27 |
| % Converted | 55% | 63% |
| Conceded | 12 | 28 |
| Saved | 8 | 16 |
| % Saved | 67% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 12 |
Elise broke her opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Elise dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Gavrilova broke her opponents 17 times with a 63% conversion rate. Gavrilova conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | |||||
| R1 Collins |
R2 Anna Schmiedlova |
1/4 Rus |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 18 | 52 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 60-34 | 70-53 | 192-127 | |
| Total points | 102 | 94 | 123 | 319 | |
| Winners | 19 | 22 | 23 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 25/41 | 26/41 | 32/65 | 83/147 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 63% | 49% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 22/26 | 23/32 | 64/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 85% | 72% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 9/15 | 19/33 | 36/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 60% | 58% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/8 | 5/11 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 63% | 45% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 6/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 86% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Gavrilova | |||||
| R1 Blinkova |
R2 Kenin |
1/4 Zhu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | 7-63 6-1 | 3-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 20 | 26 | 75 | |
| pts | 93-81 | 77-62 | 91-81 | 261-224 | |
| Total points | 174 | 139 | 172 | 485 | |
| Winners | 36 | 37 | 33 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 48% | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 13 | 2 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 61/90 | 57/71 | 55/77 | 173/238 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 80% | 71% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 36/61 | 37/57 | 33/55 | 106/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 65% | 60% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 7/14 | 12/22 | 34/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 50% | 55% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/8 | 4/5 | 6/14 | 17/27 | |
| Converted % | 88% | 80% | 43% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 6 | 8 | 28 | |
| Saved | 8/14 | 4/6 | 4/8 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 67% | 50% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 | 4 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLWLWW
WWWWWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Hobart
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- Gianluigi QuinziQuinzi – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elise MertensMertens – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-2) – H2H and prediction
