Alexander Bublik and Jack Draper will face off in the semifinal of the Adelaide International for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.72
Alexander Bublik -> 2.13
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 3rd time that Alexander Bublik and Jack Draper fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Bublik and Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Draper won 7-6(5) 7-6(0) in the 2nd round in London back in 2021.
Highlights Jack Draper vs Alexander Bublik – London 16-June-2021
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-17 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Alexander reached the semifinal after defeating James McCabe 6-2 6-3, Daniel Evans 4-6 6-2 6-1 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-74 7-5.
In the quarter, Bublik defeated Musetti (6-3 6-74 7-5). During the match, Bublik scored 115 points vs Musetti’s 102. Bublik was very aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bublik made 17 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 56% of his first serves in, winning 93% (53/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 31% (14/45) on the 2nd serve. Alexander broke Musetti 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Kazakhstani has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Bublik has positive record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (311-228). 3-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bublik has a compiled 124-93 record in the last years on hard.
Bublik has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 62, Jack got to the semifinal after beating Sebastian Baez 6-1 6-3, Miomir Kecmanovic 5-7 7-69 7-67 and Tommy Paul 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Jack had a good straight sets win against Paul (6-1 6-4). During the match Draper scored 60 points vs Paul’s 41. Draper was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Draper managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper was extremely efficient on serve to win 92% (22/24) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Draper broke Paul 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draper has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Brit has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 71 |
| Pts | 262-212 | 248-212 |
| Total Points | 474 | 460 |
| Winners | 118 | 104 |
| %Winners | 45% | 42% |
Both Bublik and Draper played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Bublik lost 2 sets, while Jack Draper conceded 1 set. Bublik has played 1 set more than Draper (8 vs 7). Therefore, Bublik played 5 games more than Draper. The Kazakhstani scored 118 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Draper recorded 104 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 40 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 13.3 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 135/235 | 131/235 |
| %1st in | 57% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 118/135 | 104/131 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 36/100 | 53/104 |
| %2nd pts | 36% | 51% |
Bublik scored 40 aces (13.3 per match). Draper bagged 20 aces (6.7 per match). Bublik won 87% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 36% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 10 |
| Converted | 15/27 | 10/15 |
| % Converted | 56% | 67% |
| Conceded | 21 | 13 |
| Saved | 15 | 10 |
| % Saved | 71% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
Alexander broke his opponents 15 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 10 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||||
| R1 McCabe |
R2 Evans |
1/4 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-74 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 34 | 76 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 86-67 | 115-102 | 262-212 | |
| Total points | 104 | 153 | 217 | 474 | |
| Winners | 25 | 40 | 53 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 47% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 21 | 17 | 40 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 13 | 11 | 29 | |
| 1st in | 29/48 | 49/85 | 57/102 | 135/235 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 58% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 40/49 | 53/57 | 118/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 82% | 93% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 14/36 | 14/45 | 36/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 39% | 31% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/7 | 5/14 | 15/27 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 71% | 36% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 8 | 21 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/10 | 5/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 80% | 63% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| Draper | |||||
| R1 Baez |
R2 Kecmanovic |
1/4 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 5-7 7-69 7-67 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 38 | 17 | 71 | |
| pts | 58-42 | 130-129 | 60-41 | 248-212 | |
| Total points | 100 | 259 | 101 | 460 | |
| Winners | 25 | 57 | 22 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 37% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 12 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 31/51 | 76/137 | 24/47 | 131/235 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 55% | 51% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 57/76 | 22/24 | 104/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 75% | 92% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 30/61 | 13/23 | 53/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 49% | 57% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 2/3 | 4/7 | 10/15 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 67% | 57% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 9/12 | 1/1 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 100% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWLLL
LWWWWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Alexander BublikBublik – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-74 7-5) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Diego Hidalgo/Cristian RodriguezHidalgo/Cristian Rodriguez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Tommy PaulPaul (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (w/o) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Tommy PaulPaul (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-7(4) 7-5) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Nicolas JarryJarry (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Alexander BublikBublik (1-1) – H2H and prediction
