Jessica Pegula and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will play each other in the quarter of the Adelaide International for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:30 am on Show Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.26
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -> 3.88
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in 2021.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the American got to the quarter after defeating Bernarda Pera 4-6 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Pera, Jessica recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 111 points vs Pera’s 102. Jessica was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula made 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 61% of her first serves in, winning 65% (44/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Pera 6 times after converting 29% of her break points (6/21).
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (300-166). 2-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has a composed 188-91 match record in the last years on hard.
The American has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Jessica has never competed in this tournament before.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-14 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-19 | 20-11 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-17 | 6-8 | 15-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-20 | 12-11 | 10-3 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 59, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Alexandra Osborne 6-0 6-3, Ana Bogdan 6-2 6-2, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-4 and Katerina Siniakova 2-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Siniakova, Pavlyuchenkova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Pavlyuchenkova scored 88 points vs Siniakova’s 75. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Pavlyuchenkova made 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pavlyuchenkova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 79% (33/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Siniakova 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Pavlyuchenkova has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 75 |
| Pts | 111-102 | 282-203 |
| Total Points | 213 | 485 |
| Winners | 44 | 108 |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% |
Pegula played 1 match while Pavlyuchenkova competed in 4 matches. Pavlyuchenkova started her run from the qualifications while Pegula had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula dropped 1 set, while Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova surrendered 1 set. Pegula has played 6 set(s) less than Pavlyuchenkova (3 vs 9). Therefore, Pegula played 48 games less than Pavlyuchenkova. The American scored 44 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Pavlyuchenkova made 108 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 68/112 | 141/223 |
| %1st in | 61% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 44/68 | 108/141 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 20/44 | 48/82 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 59% |
Pegula fired 7 aces . Pavlyuchenkova bagged 12 aces (3 per match). Pegula won 65% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Pavlyuchenkova won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 15 |
| Converted | 6/21 | 15/40 |
| % Converted | 29% | 38% |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Saved | 10 | 4 |
| % Saved | 77% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Pegula broke her opponent 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded. Anastasia broke her opponents 15 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R2 Pera | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 111-102 | 111-102 | |
| Total points | 213 | 213 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 68/112 | 68/112 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 44/68 | 44/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/44 | 20/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/21 | 6/21 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Pavlyuchenkova | ||||||
| Q1 Osborne | Q3 Bogdan | R1 Haddad Maia | R2 Siniakova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 2-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 19 | 25 | 75 | |
| pts | 60-34 | 65-42 | 69-52 | 88-75 | 282-203 | |
| Total points | 94 | 107 | 121 | 163 | 485 | |
| Winners | 20 | 23 | 32 | 33 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 35% | 46% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 24/46 | 30/47 | 45/62 | 42/68 | 141/223 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 64% | 73% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 23/30 | 32/45 | 33/42 | 108/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 77% | 71% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 11/17 | 10/17 | 12/26 | 48/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 65% | 59% | 46% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/14 | 3/6 | 4/11 | 15/40 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 29% | 50% | 36% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 1/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 275% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Mikael YmerYmer – Carlos BerlocqBerlocq (6-1 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Constant LestienneLestienne (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip HoranskyHoransky – Lukas RosolRosol (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Vaclav SafranekSafranek (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction