Jessica Pegula and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova will play each other in the quarter of the Adelaide International for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:30 am on Show Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.26
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -> 3.88

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Montreal back in 2021.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
3
LWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 35-12 11-5 3-4 4-2 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 5, the American got to the quarter after defeating Bernarda Pera 4-6 6-2 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Pera, Jessica recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 111 points vs Pera’s 102. Jessica was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula made 7 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 61% of her first serves in, winning 65% (44/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Pera 6 times after converting 29% of her break points (6/21).

Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (300-166). 2-1 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has a composed 188-91 match record in the last years on hard.

The American has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Jessica has never competed in this tournament before.

Adelaide
Pegula's Record

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
47
High
11
LWLLLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-14 6-9 1-3 0-0 7-2 0-0
2024 27-19 20-11 3-5 3-1 1-2 0-0
2023 24-17 6-8 15-7 3-2 0-0 0-0
2022 2-3 2-1 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 29-20 12-11 10-3 5-4 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 59, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Alexandra Osborne 6-0 6-3, Ana Bogdan 6-2 6-2, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-3 6-4 and Katerina Siniakova 2-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Siniakova, Pavlyuchenkova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-2). During the match Pavlyuchenkova scored 88 points vs Siniakova’s 75. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Pavlyuchenkova made 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Pavlyuchenkova put 62% of her first serves in, winning 79% (33/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Siniakova 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Pavlyuchenkova has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Adelaide

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2020. See her history.

Adelaide
Pavlyuchenkova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
A.Pavlyuchenkova
2h:12
2h:12
Time on court​
!
6h:00
6h:00
!
2h:12
2h:12
Last match​
!
2h:04
2h:04
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
27
27
Games Played​
75
75
3
3
Set played​​
9
9
111
111
Total points​
282
282
111
111
Avg point​
70.5
70.5
44
44
Winners
108
108
44
44
Avg Winners​
27
27
40%
40%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
12
12
7
7
Avg Aces
3
3
4
4
Double Faults
12
12
4
4
Avg Double Faults
3
3
44/68
44/68
1st won total​
108/141
108/141
65%
65%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
20/44
20/44
2nd won total​
48/82
48/82
45%
45%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
6/21
6/21
BP won
15/40
15/40
6/21
6/21
Avg BP won
3.8/10
3.8/10
!
29%
29%
Won
38%
38%
13
13
Conceded
8
8
13
13
Avg Conceded
2
2
3
3
Broken
4
4
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
10
10
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Pavlyuchenkova
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 3 9
Tot Games 27 75
Pts 111-102 282-203
Total Points 213 485
Winners 44 108
%Winners 40% 38%

Pegula played 1 match while Pavlyuchenkova competed in 4 matches. Pavlyuchenkova started her run from the qualifications while Pegula had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula dropped 1 set, while Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova surrendered 1 set. Pegula has played 6 set(s) less than Pavlyuchenkova (3 vs 9). Therefore, Pegula played 48 games less than Pavlyuchenkova. The American scored 44 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Pavlyuchenkova made 108 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Pavlyuchenkova
Aces 7 12
Avg per match 7 3
1st in 68/112 141/223
%1st in 61% 63%
1st pts 44/68 108/141
%1st pts 65% 77%
2nd pts 20/44 48/82
%2nd pts 45% 59%

Pegula fired 7 aces . Pavlyuchenkova bagged 12 aces (3 per match). Pegula won 65% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Pavlyuchenkova won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Pavlyuchenkova
Won 6 15
Converted 6/21 15/40
% Converted 29% 38%
Conceded 13 8
Saved 10 4
% Saved 77% 50%
Times Broken 3 4

Pegula broke her opponent 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded. Anastasia broke her opponents 15 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R2
Pera
Total
Score 4-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 111-102 111-102
Total points 213 213
Winners 44 44
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 68/112 68/112
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 44/68 44/68
% 1st pts 65% 65%
2nd pts 20/44 20/44
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/21 6/21
Converted % 29% 29%
Conceded 13 13
Saved 10/13 10
Saved % 77% 77%
Times Broken 3 3
Pavlyuchenkova
Q1
Osborne
Q3
Bogdan
R1
Haddad Maia
R2
Siniakova
Total
Score 6-0 6-3 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-4 2-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 9
Tot Games 15 16 19 25 75
pts 60-34 65-42 69-52 88-75 282-203
Total points 94 107 121 163 485
Winners 20 23 32 33 108
%Winners 33% 35% 46% 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 0 4 4 4 12
Double Faults 1 2 5 4 12
1st in 24/46 30/47 45/62 42/68 141/223
% 1st in 52% 64% 73% 62% 63%
1st pts 20/24 23/30 32/45 33/42 108/141
% 1st pts 83% 77% 71% 79% 77%
2nd pts 15/22 11/17 10/17 12/26 48/82
% 2nd pts 68% 65% 59% 46% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 4 3 4 15
Converted 4/9 4/14 3/6 4/11 15/40
Converted % 44% 29% 50% 36% 38%
Conceded 1 1 2 4 8
Saved 1/1 1/1 1/2 1/4 4
Saved % 100% 100% 50% 25% 275%
Times Broken 0 0 1 3 4

Tennis Scores in Adelaide

Upcoming matches in the draw