Jelena Ostapenko and Marta Kostyuk will square off in the quarter of the Adelaide International for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:30 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.44
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 2nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Marta Kostyuk play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Ostapenko won 6-2 6-3 in the 2nd round in Guadalajara back in 2023.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-20 | 8-14 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Ostapenko got to the quarter after beating Sorana Cirstea 2-6 6-2 6-4 and Caroline Garcia 6-4 5-7 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Ostapenko defeated Garcia (6-4 5-7 6-4). During the match, Ostapenko scored 112 points vs Garcia’s 111. Ostapenko was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko bagged 3 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 56% of her first serves in, winning 76% (50/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (21/51) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Garcia 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Latvian has lost 2 set in this competition to win 51% of the points she played.
Ostapenko has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (286-191). 4-1 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Ostapenko has an overall 123-99 record in the last years on hard.
Ostapenko has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2024, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-20 | 19-13 | 7-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-22 | 24-14 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41, Marta got to the quarter after defeating Anhelina Kalinina 7-63 6-1 and Taylor Townsend 6-3 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Ukrainian defeated Townsend (6-3 2-6 6-4). During the match Kostyuk scored 96 points vs Townsend’s 90. Marta was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk scored 3 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 6 times and she saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 61% of her first serves in, winning 61% (43/71) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (20/45) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Townsend 6 times after converting 86% of her break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ukrainian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Marta has a compiled 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 47 |
| Pts | 202-195 | 170-137 |
| Total Points | 397 | 307 |
| Winners | 85 | 74 |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% |
Both Ostapenko and Kostyuk played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jelena Ostapenko lost 2 sets, while Marta Kostyuk lost 1 set. Ostapenko has played 1 set more than Kostyuk (6 vs 5). Therefore, Ostapenko played 11 games more than Kostyuk. Jelena scored 85 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk recorded 74 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 119/208 | 114/179 |
| %1st in | 57% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 85/119 | 74/114 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 39/89 | 28/65 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 43% |
Ostapenko blasted 9 aces (4.5 per match). Kostyuk managed to score 13 aces (6.5 per match). Ostapenko won 71% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/26 | 12/15 |
| % Converted | 35% | 80% |
| Conceded | 25 | 28 |
| Saved | 18 | 19 |
| % Saved | 72% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 9 |
Ostapenko broke her opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Jelena surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 12 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Ukrainian conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | ||||
| R1 Cirstea | R2 Garcia | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 | 58 | |
| pts | 90-84 | 112-111 | 202-195 | |
| Total points | 174 | 223 | 397 | |
| Winners | 35 | 50 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 10 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 53/91 | 66/117 | 119/208 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 35/53 | 50/66 | 85/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 21/51 | 39/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 41% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/14 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 29% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 10 | 25 | |
| Saved | 11/15 | 7/10 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 70% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Kostyuk | ||||
| R1 Kalinina | R2 Townsend | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-1 | 6-3 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 | 47 | |
| pts | 74-47 | 96-90 | 170-137 | |
| Total points | 121 | 186 | 307 | |
| Winners | 31 | 43 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 43/63 | 71/116 | 114/179 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 31/43 | 43/71 | 74/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 61% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/20 | 20/45 | 28/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 44% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/7 | 12/15 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 86% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 20 | 28 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 14/20 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 70% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Vaclav SafranekSafranek (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mikael YmerYmer – Carlos BerlocqBerlocq (6-1 4-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Constant LestienneLestienne (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Filip HoranskyHoransky – Lukas RosolRosol (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction