Elise Mertens and Arantxa Rus will fight against each other in the quarter of the Hobart International for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 PM on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 2 sets.
Elise Mertens -> 1.26
Arantxa Rus -> 3.88
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Arantxa Rus
This will be the 3rd time that Elise Mertens and Arantxa Rus square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Mertens won 6-0 6-2 in the semifinal in the Daytona Beach.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-20 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 5-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Mertens got to the quarter after beating Danielle Rose Collins 6-2 6-3 and Anna Schmiedlova 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Elise had a good straight sets win against Anna Schmiedlova (6-2 6-3). During the match, Mertens scored 60 points vs Anna Schmiedlova’s 34. Mertens was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mertens recorded 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was very efficient on serve to win 85% (22/26) of her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Mertens broke Anna Schmiedlova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 62% of the points she played.
Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of her matches (338-205). 3-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mertens has a composed 182-103 record in the last years on hard.
The Belgian has a compiled 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hobart
Arantxa Rus
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-35 | 9-10 | 28-20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-33 | 14-14 | 19-13 | 2-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 57-22 | 10-10 | 43-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 9-10 | 29-17 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-23 | 5-9 | 33-11 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 50, the Dutch got to the quarter after defeating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-3 5-7 6-3 and Varvara Gracheva 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Rus had a good straight sets win against Gracheva (6-2 6-3). During the match Rus scored 60 points vs Gracheva’s 37. The Dutch was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Rus was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Arantxa Rus lost the serve once. Furthermore, Rus put 82% of her first serves in, winning 86% (31/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 25% (2/8) on the 2nd serve. Rus broke Gracheva 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dutch has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Arantxa has an aggregate 3-1 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hobart
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 47 |
| Pts | 122-74 | 157-123 |
| Total Points | 196 | 280 |
| Winners | 41 | 64 |
| %Winners | 34% | 41% |
Both Mertens and Rus played 2 matches. At the moment, Arantxa Rus dropped 1 set while Elise Mertens hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mertens has played 1 set(s) less than Rus (4 vs 5). Therefore, Mertens played 13 games less than Rus. The Belgian scored 41 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Dutch recorded 64 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 51/82 | 91/132 |
| %1st in | 62% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | 64/91 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 19/41 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 46% |
Mertens made 8 aces (4 per match). Rus struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Mertens won 80% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Rus won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Rus |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 11 |
| Converted | 11/18 | 11/17 |
| % Converted | 61% | 65% |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 40% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
Elise broke her opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. Elise surrendered her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. The Dutch broke her opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | ||||
| R1 Collins | R2 Anna Schmiedlova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 34 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 60-34 | 122-74 | |
| Total points | 102 | 94 | 196 | |
| Winners | 19 | 22 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 37% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 25/41 | 26/41 | 51/82 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 22/26 | 41/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 85% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 9/15 | 17/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 60% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/8 | 11/18 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 63% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Rus | ||||
| R1 Fruhvirtova | R2 Gracheva | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 17 | 47 | |
| pts | 97-86 | 60-37 | 157-123 | |
| Total points | 183 | 97 | 280 | |
| Winners | 33 | 31 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 52% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 55/88 | 36/44 | 91/132 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 82% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 33/55 | 31/36 | 64/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 86% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 2/8 | 19/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 25% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 4/7 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 57% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 0% | 19% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Hobart
- Gianluigi QuinziQuinzi – Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Salvatore CarusoCaruso – Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi (4-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ulises BlanchBlanch – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Attila BalazsBalazs – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-2 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Elise MertensMertens – Arantxa RusRus (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktoriya TomovaTomova – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction