Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Riccardo Bonadio will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:00 pm on Court 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.72
Riccardo Bonadio -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Riccardo Bonadio
This will be the 3rd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Riccardo Bonadio clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Ugo Carabelli won 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in the Santo Domingo Challenger back in 2022.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-17 | 2-1 | 29-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 140, Camilo reached the qualifications after defeating Hayden Jones 6-0 3-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, Ugo Carabelli defeated Jones (6-0 3-6 6-2). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 69 points vs Jones’s 50. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli made 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 55% (12/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Ugo Carabelli was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Jones 7 times.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (289-168). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has a compiled27-22 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Ugo Carabelli has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Riccardo Bonadio
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-14 | 1-3 | 15-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-35 | 7-6 | 25-28 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-33 | 2-2 | 42-30 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-33 | 0-0 | 27-32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-15 | 6-3 | 23-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 222, Riccardo reached the qualifications after defeating Pavle Marinkov 7-5 7-62.
In the qualifications, Riccardo had a good straight sets win against Marinkov (7-5 7-62). During the match Bonadio scored 82 points vs Marinkov’s 72. Riccardo was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Bonadio blasted 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Riccardo Bonadio lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bonadio put 52% of his first serves in, winning 81% (30/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (15/34) on the 2nd serve. Bonadio broke Marinkov 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
The Italian has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Bonadio |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 25 |
| Pts | 69-50 | 82-72 |
| Total Points | 119 | 154 |
| Winners | 24 | 30 |
| %Winners | 35% | 37% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Bonadio played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 1 set while Riccardo Bonadio hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Bonadio (3 vs 2). However, it’s interesting to notice that Ugo Carabelli played 2 games less than Bonadio. Ugo Carabelli scored 24 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 30 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Bonadio |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 37/71 |
| %1st in | 59% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 30/37 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 15/34 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 44% |
Ugo Carabelli made 3 aces . Bonadio made 3 aces . Ugo Carabelli won 75% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Bonadio won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Bonadio |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 4 |
| Converted | 7/7 | 4/9 |
| % Converted | 100% | 44% |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 25% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The Argentine broke his opponent 7 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Argentine surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Bonadio broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Riccardo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| Q1 Jones |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 69-50 | 69-50 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/54 | 32/54 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/32 | 24/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 12/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/7 | 7/7 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Bonadio | |||
| Q1 Marinkov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 82-72 | 82-72 | |
| Total points | 154 | 154 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/71 | 37/71 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 30/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/34 | 15/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLLL
LWLWWWWLWW Tennis Scores – Australian Open
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- Lukas KleinKlein – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- David GoffinGoffin – Billy HarrisHarris (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Hugo DellienDellien – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Mate ValkuszValkusz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GastonGaston – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Rudolf MollekerMolleker – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Benjamin HassanHassan (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
