Tommy Paul and Jack Draper will square off in the quarter of the Adelaide International for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.8
Tommy Paul -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 2nd time that Tommy Paul and Jack Draper face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Draper won 6-4 6-4 in the 2nd round in Adelaide back in 2023.
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-19 | 17-11 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Tommy reached the quarter after defeating Alex Bolt 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Bolt (6-3 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 64 points vs Bolt’s 40. Paul was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paul struck 11 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Tommy Paul was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 75% (15/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Bolt 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (351-205). 1-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has an aggregate 176-101 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Paul has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 62, the Brit got to the quarter after beating Sebastian Baez 6-1 6-3 and Miomir Kecmanovic 5-7 7-69 7-67.
In the 2nd round against Kecmanovic, The Brit recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-69 7-67). During the match Draper scored 130 points vs Kecmanovic’s 129. Jack was pretty aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about serving, Draper managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 55% of his first serves in, winning 75% (57/76) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (30/61) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Kecmanovic twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Brit has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 54 |
| Pts | 64-40 | 188-171 |
| Total Points | 104 | 359 |
| Winners | 25 | 82 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Paul played 1 match while Draper competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Jack Draper lost 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t lost a set so far. Paul has played 3 set(s) less than Draper (2 vs 5). Therefore, Paul played 37 games less than Draper. Tommy scored 25 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Jack scored 82 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 31/51 | 107/188 |
| %1st in | 61% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 82/107 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 40/81 |
| %2nd pts | 75% | 49% |
Paul recorded 11 aces . Draper bagged 17 aces (8.5 per match). Paul won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 6/8 |
| % Converted | 60% | 75% |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The American quite strong on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. The Brit broke his opponents 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Draper conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | |||
| R2 Bolt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 64-40 | 64-40 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/51 | 31/51 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 25/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 15/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Draper | ||||
| R1 Baez |
R2 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 5-7 7-69 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 38 | 54 | |
| pts | 58-42 | 130-129 | 188-171 | |
| Total points | 100 | 259 | 359 | |
| Winners | 25 | 57 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 12 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/51 | 76/137 | 107/188 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 55% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 57/76 | 82/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 30/61 | 40/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 2/3 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 67% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 9/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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