Maks Kasnikowski and Gastao Elias will fight against each other in the final of the Oeiras 1 Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maks Kasnikowski who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maks Kasnikowski is the pick to win this match.
Maks Kasnikowski -> 1.58
Gastao Elias -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Maks Kasnikowski vs. Gastao Elias

There is no head to head record between Maks Kasnikowski and Gastao Elias since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Maks Kasnikowski

Ranked no. 324, Maks got to the final after defeating Adrian Andreev 3-6 7-6¹⁰ 6-3, Joao Domingues 7-5 6-4, Joao Sousa 7-6¹ 6-4 and Valentin Royer 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Royer (6-4 6-4). During the match, Kasnikowski scored 73 points vs Royer’s 67. Maks was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kasnikowski blasted 2 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Maks Kasnikowski lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kasnikowski put 68% of his first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Maks broke Royer 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Kasnikowski has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (100-56). 4-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasnikowski has an aggregate18-7 match record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.

The Pole’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.

Kasnikowski has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Oeiras 1 Challenger

Maks has never competed in this tournament before.

Gastao Elias

Ranked no. 336, Elias got to the final after defeating Kenny de Schepper 6-4 6-4, Cem Ilkel 6-4 6-2, Jaime Faria 6-2 3-6 6-4 and Egor Gerasimov 6-4 3-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Portuguese defeated Gerasimov (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Elias scored 92 points vs Gerasimov’s 84. Elias was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Elias made 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gastao Elias lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 48% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (28/44) on the 2nd serve. Elias broke Gerasimov 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Portuguese has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Gastao’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.

The Portuguese has an overall 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kasnikowski	Elias
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	10
Tot Games	96	93
Pts	347-311	304-268
Total Points	658	572
Winners	141	103
%Winners	41%	34%

Both Kasnikowski and Elias played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Maks Kasnikowski dropped 1 set, while Gastao Elias conceded 2 sets. Kasnikowski has played 1 set(s) less than Elias (9 vs 10). However, it’s interesting to notice that Kasnikowski played 3 games more than Elias. The Pole scored 141 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese scored 103 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kasnikowski	Elias
Aces	15	24
Avg per match	3.8	6
1st in	189/319	135/273
%1st in	59%	49%
1st pts	141/189	103/135
%1st pts	75%	76%
2nd pts	65/130	81/138
%2nd pts	50%	59%

Kasnikowski bagged 15 aces (3.8 per match). Elias struck 24 aces (6 per match). Kasnikowski won 75% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Elias won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kasnikowski	Elias
Won	11	14
Converted	11/38	14/27
% Converted	29%	52%
Conceded	22	21
Saved	15	15
% Saved	68%	71%
Times Broken	7	6

The Pole broke his opponents 11 times with a 29% conversion rate. Kasnikowski lost his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Elias broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Gastao conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Kasnikowski
	R1 Andreev	R2 Domingues	1/4 Sousa	1/2 Royer	Total
Score	3-6 7-610 6-3	7-5 6-4	7-61 6-4	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	9
Tot Games	31	22	23	20	96
pts	111-108	82-69	81-67	73-67	347-311
Total points	219	151	148	140	658
Winners	48	26	35	32	141
%Winners	43%	32%	43%	44%	41%
SERVE
Aces	6	4	3	2	15
Double Faults	2	1	0	0	3
1st in	62/103	33/67	46/78	48/71	189/319
% 1st in	60%	49%	59%	68%	59%
1st pts	48/62	26/33	35/46	32/48	141/189
% 1st pts	77%	79%	76%	67%	75%
2nd pts	18/41	17/34	17/32	13/23	65/130
% 2nd pts	44%	50%	53%	57%	50%
Breaks
Won	2	4	2	3	11
Converted	2/14	4/11	2/3	3/10	11/38
Converted %	14%	36%	67%	30%	29%
Conceded	5	3	8	6	22
Saved	2/5	1/3	7/8	5/6	15
Saved %	40%	33%	88%	83%	61%
Times Broken	3	2	1	1	7

Elias
	R1 de Schepper	R2 Ilkel	1/4 Faria	1/2 Gerasimov	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-2	6-2 3-6 6-4	6-4 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	20	18	27	28	93
pts	59-49	60-49	93-86	92-84	304-268
Total points	108	109	179	176	572
Winners	21	28	26	28	103
%Winners	36%	47%	28%	30%	34%
SERVE
Aces	3	8	9	4	24
Double Faults	3	3	4	3	13
1st in	24/50	32/57	39/82	40/84	135/273
% 1st in	48%	56%	48%	48%	49%
1st pts	21/24	28/32	26/39	28/40	103/135
% 1st pts	88%	88%	67%	70%	76%
2nd pts	19/26	11/25	23/43	28/44	81/138
% 2nd pts	73%	44%	53%	64%	59%
Breaks
Won	2	3	6	3	14
Converted	2/4	3/5	6/10	3/8	14/27
Converted %	50%	60%	60%	38%	52%
Conceded	0	4	12	5	21
Saved	0/0	4/4	8/12	3/5	15
Saved %	–	100%	67%	60%	57%
Times Broken	0	0	4	2	6

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Gastao EliasElias – (0-0) – H2H and prediction