Holger Rune and Grigor Dimitrov will face off in the final of the Brisbane International for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.909
Holger Rune -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 3rd time that Holger Rune and Grigor Dimitrov face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Dimitrov won 6-3 7-5 in the 2nd round in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Grigor Dimitrov vs Holger Rune – Beijing 01-October-2023
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-23 | 21-11 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Rune reached the final after defeating Max Purcell 4-6 6-4 6-2, Alexander Shevchenko 6-4 5-7 6-2, James Duckworth 6-2 7-66 and Roman Safiullin 6-4 7-60.
In the semifinal, Rune had a good straight sets win against Safiullin (6-4 7-60). During the match, Rune scored 75 points vs Safiullin’s 63. Holger was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rune managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 67% of his first serves in, winning 81% (39/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Rune broke Safiullin twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holger has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (210-106). 4-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has an aggregate34-30 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Holger’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Brisbane.
Holger has a compiled 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
The Dane has never competed in this tournament before.
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, Dimitrov got to the final after defeating Andy Murray 4-6 7-5 6-2, Daniel Altmaier 6-1 6-2, Rinky Hijikata 6-1 6-4 and Jordan Thompson 6-3 7-5.
In the semifinal, Grigor had a good straight sets win against Thompson (6-3 7-5). During the match Dimitrov scored 73 points vs Thompson’s 56. The Bulgarian was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.
About the serving games, Dimitrov scored 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 67% of his first serves in, winning 87% (39/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. Dimitrov broke Thompson twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dimitrov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Dimitrov’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Brisbane.
Dimitrov has a composed 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 102 | 83 |
| Pts | 335-290 | 288-206 |
| Total Points | 625 | 494 |
| Winners | 156 | 131 |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% |
Both Rune and Dimitrov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune surrendered 2 sets, while Grigor Dimitrov conceded 1 set. Rune has played 1 set more than Dimitrov (10 vs 9). Therefore, Rune played 19 games more than Dimitrov. The Dane scored 156 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov scored 131 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 44 | 41 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 10.3 |
| 1st in | 199/300 | 155/240 |
| %1st in | 66% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 156/199 | 131/155 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 58/101 | 48/85 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 56% |
Rune managed to score 44 aces (11 per match). Dimitrov managed to score 41 aces (10.3 per match). Rune won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 13 |
| Converted | 11/28 | 13/28 |
| % Converted | 39% | 46% |
| Conceded | 14 | 16 |
| Saved | 10 | 14 |
| % Saved | 71% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Rune broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Dane dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Grigor broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Bulgarian conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | ||||||
| R1 Purcell |
R2 Shevchenko |
1/4 Duckworth |
1/2 Safiullin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | 6-2 7-66 | 6-4 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 30 | 21 | 23 | 102 | |
| pts | 77-69 | 105-94 | 78-64 | 75-63 | 335-290 | |
| Total points | 146 | 199 | 142 | 138 | 625 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | 31 | 39 | 156 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 41% | 40% | 52% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 58/72 | 57/91 | 36/65 | 48/72 | 199/300 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 63% | 55% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 43/58 | 43/57 | 31/36 | 39/48 | 156/199 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 86% | 81% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 22/34 | 17/29 | 11/24 | 58/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 65% | 59% | 46% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/10 | 2/5 | 2/7 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 30% | 40% | 29% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/6 | 1/1 | 1/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 83% | 100% | 50% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Dimitrov | ||||||
| R1 Murray |
R2 Altmaier |
1/4 Hijikata |
1/2 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 15 | 17 | 21 | 83 | |
| pts | 91-77 | 60-30 | 64-43 | 73-56 | 288-206 | |
| Total points | 168 | 90 | 107 | 129 | 494 | |
| Winners | 42 | 24 | 26 | 39 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 40% | 41% | 53% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 51/82 | 26/41 | 33/50 | 45/67 | 155/240 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 66% | 67% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/51 | 24/26 | 26/33 | 39/45 | 131/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 92% | 79% | 87% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/31 | 10/15 | 12/17 | 10/22 | 48/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 67% | 71% | 45% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/6 | 3/7 | 2/7 | 13/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 43% | 29% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3/3 | 2/2 | 6/6 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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