Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Azarenka will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Brisbane International for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.25
Victoria Azarenka -> 3.96
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Victoria Azarenka
This will be the 5th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Victoria Azarenka face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sabalenka won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in Montreal back in 2021.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Azarenka – Montreal 13-August-2021
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Aryna reached the semifinal after defeating Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-0, Lin Zhu 6-1 6-0 and Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-4.
In the quarter, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-1 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 70 points vs Kasatkina’s 51. Aryna was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka recorded 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 62% of her first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Kasatkina 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 63% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (321-154). 3-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a composed192-85 record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Belarussian has a compiled 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Sabalenka has never competed in this tournament before.
Victoria Azarenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-15 | 20-10 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 17-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-13 | 18-9 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 28-9 | 18-6 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Azarenka reached the semifinal after defeating Anna Kalinskaya 6-1 7-68, Clara Burel 7-5 6-2 and Jelena Ostapenko 6-3 3-6 7-5.
In the quarter, Azarenka defeated Ostapenko (6-3 3-6 7-5). During the match Azarenka scored 109 points vs Ostapenko’s 94. Azarenka was quite aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Azarenka scored 16 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 64% of her first serves in, winning 75% (53/71) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (17/40) on the 2nd serve. Victoria broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Victoria has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Victoria has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 70 |
| Pts | 181-108 | 264-218 |
| Total Points | 289 | 482 |
| Winners | 74 | 127 |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% |
Both Sabalenka and Azarenka played 3 matches. At the moment, Victoria Azarenka surrendered 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Azarenka (6 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 25 games less than Azarenka. The Belarussian scored 74 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Victoria struck 127 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 7.7 |
| 1st in | 94/159 | 172/263 |
| %1st in | 59% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 74/94 | 127/172 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 34/65 | 37/91 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 41% |
Sabalenka blasted 21 aces (7 per match). Azarenka fired 23 aces (7.7 per match). Sabalenka won 79% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 12 |
| Converted | 14/27 | 12/24 |
| % Converted | 52% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 22 |
| Saved | 8 | 16 |
| % Saved | 80% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
The Belarussian broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Azarenka broke her opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Azarenka conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Bronzetti |
R3 Zhu |
1/4 Kasatkina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-1 6-0 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 13 | 17 | 45 | |
| pts | 50-26 | 61-31 | 70-51 | 181-108 | |
| Total points | 76 | 92 | 121 | 289 | |
| Winners | 20 | 24 | 30 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 25/44 | 31/54 | 38/61 | 94/159 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | 62% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 20/25 | 24/31 | 30/38 | 74/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 77% | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 11/23 | 10/23 | 34/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 48% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 6/11 | 4/11 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 55% | 36% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/5 | 3/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 75% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Azarenka | |||||
| R2 Kalinskaya |
R3 Burel |
1/4 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-68 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 30 | 70 | |
| pts | 87-72 | 68-52 | 109-94 | 264-218 | |
| Total points | 159 | 120 | 203 | 482 | |
| Winners | 33 | 41 | 53 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 60% | 49% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 16 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 45/83 | 56/69 | 71/111 | 172/263 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 81% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 41/56 | 53/71 | 127/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 3/13 | 17/40 | 37/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 23% | 43% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/5 | 4/8 | 12/24 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 80% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 4/5 | 7/10 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 80% | 70% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWW
LW Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Arthur De GreefDe Greef (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (3-1) – H2H and prediction
