Holger Rune and Roman Safiullin will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Brisbane International for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.44
Roman Safiullin -> 2.8
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin
There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Roman Safiullin since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 5-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 32-16 | 1-3 | 28-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Holger reached the semifinal after defeating Max Purcell 4-6 6-4 6-2, Alexander Shevchenko 6-4 5-7 6-2 and James Duckworth 6-2 7-66.
In the quarter, Rune had a good straight sets win against Duckworth (6-2 7-66). During the match, Rune scored 78 points vs Duckworth’s 64. Rune was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rune blasted 13 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Holger Rune was very efficient on serve to win 86% (31/36) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Dane broke Duckworth twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Holger has lost 2 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Rune has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (209-106). 3-0 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a composed33-30 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Rune has an overall 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Holger has never competed in this tournament before.
Roman Safiullin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 13-12 | 8-4 | 11-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-18 | 16-6 | 6-2 | 14-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 7-5 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-12 | 6-2 | 4-5 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 39 (career-high), Roman reached the semifinal after defeating Ben Shelton 6-3 6-75 6-3, Alexei Popyrin 6-79 6-4 7-63 and Matteo Arnaldi 7-64 6-2.
In the quarter, Roman had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (7-64 6-2). During the match Safiullin scored 76 points vs Arnaldi’s 66. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Safiullin blasted 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Roman Safiullin lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Safiullin put 59% of his first serves in, winning 84% (36/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Arnaldi 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Safiullin has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rune | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 88 |
| Pts | 260-227 | 304-270 |
| Total Points | 487 | 574 |
| Winners | 117 | 142 |
| %Winners | 45% | 47% |
Both Rune and Safiullin played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune conceded 2 sets, while Roman Safiullin surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Rune and Safiullin have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Rune played 9 games less than Safiullin. Holger scored 117 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 142 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rune | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 37 | 40 |
| Avg per match | 12.3 | 13.3 |
| 1st in | 151/228 | 170/289 |
| %1st in | 66% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 117/151 | 142/170 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 47/77 | 68/119 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 57% |
Rune made 37 aces (12.3 per match). Safiullin fired 40 aces (13.3 per match). Rune won 77% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Safiullin won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rune | Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/21 | 7/28 |
| % Converted | 43% | 25% |
| Conceded | 12 | 22 |
| Saved | 9 | 20 |
| % Saved | 75% | 91% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Rune broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Dane dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Safiullin broke his opponents 7 times with a 25% conversion rate. Roman conceded his serve twice and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rune | |||||
| R1 Purcell |
R2 Shevchenko |
1/4 Duckworth |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | 6-2 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 30 | 21 | 79 | |
| pts | 77-69 | 105-94 | 78-64 | 260-227 | |
| Total points | 146 | 199 | 142 | 487 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | 31 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 41% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | 13 | 37 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 58/72 | 57/91 | 36/65 | 151/228 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 63% | 55% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 43/58 | 43/57 | 31/36 | 117/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 86% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 22/34 | 17/29 | 47/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 65% | 59% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/10 | 2/5 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 30% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/6 | 1/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 83% | 100% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Safiullin | |||||
| R1 Shelton |
R2 Popyrin |
1/4 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-75 6-3 | 6-79 6-4 7-63 | 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 36 | 21 | 88 | |
| pts | 106-92 | 122-112 | 76-66 | 304-270 | |
| Total points | 198 | 234 | 142 | 574 | |
| Winners | 44 | 62 | 36 | 142 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 51% | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 23 | 9 | 40 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 50/95 | 77/121 | 43/73 | 170/289 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 64% | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 44/50 | 62/77 | 36/43 | 142/170 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 81% | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/45 | 26/44 | 14/30 | 68/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 59% | 47% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | 2/9 | 3/8 | 7/28 | |
| Converted % | 18% | 22% | 38% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 14 | 3 | 22 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 13/14 | 2/3 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 93% | 67% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWLL
LWWLLLWLWL Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Rafael NadalNadal (5-7 7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – James DuckworthDuckworth (6-2 7-66) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Gonzalo Escobar/Aleksandr NedovyesovEscobar/Aleksandr Nedovyesov (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Rafael NadalNadal (5-7 7-6(6) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
