Pavel Kotov and Emil Ruusuvuori will clash against each other in the quarter of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emil Ruusuvuori who should win in 3 sets.
Emil Ruusuvuori -> 1.64
Pavel Kotov -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Emil Ruusuvuori
This will be the 3rd time that Pavel Kotov and Emil Ruusuvuori play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Ruusuvuori (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Ruusuvuori won 7-5 4-0 ret. in the quarter in the Fergana Challenger back in 2019.
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-22 | 9-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 67, Kotov got to the quarter after beating Nuno Borges 6-2 6-4 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Kotov had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-4 6-3). During the match, Kotov scored 69 points vs Musetti’s 61. Pavel was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kotov managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Pavel Kotov conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 68% of his first serves in, winning 79% (38/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (8/23) on the 2nd serve. Pavel broke Musetti 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Kotov has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (254-160). 2-0 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kotov has an overall51-34 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Russian has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Emil Ruusuvuori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-16 | 8-6 | 2-5 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-30 | 13-11 | 6-7 | 9-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 15-12 | 10-9 | 10-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-26 | 21-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, Emil got to the quarter after defeating Benjamin Bonzi 6-75 6-2 6-1 and Karen Khachanov 7-62 2-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Ruusuvuori defeated Khachanov (7-62 2-6 6-2). During the match Ruusuvuori scored 101 points vs Khachanov’s 94. The Finn was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Ruusuvuori recorded 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Emil Ruusuvuori was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (41/58) of his 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Ruusuvuori broke Khachanov 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Finn has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Finn has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 57 |
| Pts | 138-114 | 215-191 |
| Total Points | 252 | 406 |
| Winners | 71 | 74 |
| %Winners | 51% | 34% |
Both Kotov and Ruusuvuori played 2 matches. At the moment, Emil Ruusuvuori dropped 2 sets while Pavel Kotov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kotov has played 2 set(s) less than Ruusuvuori (4 vs 6). Therefore, Kotov played 20 games less than Ruusuvuori. Pavel scored 71 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Emil bagged 74 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 93/128 | 109/194 |
| %1st in | 73% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 71/93 | 74/109 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 14/35 | 45/85 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 53% |
Kotov bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Ruusuvuori made 10 aces (5 per match). Kotov won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Ruusuvuori won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/10 | 11/33 |
| % Converted | 70% | 33% |
| Conceded | 7 | 15 |
| Saved | 6 | 9 |
| % Saved | 86% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
The Russian broke his opponents 7 times with a 70% conversion rate. Kotov lost his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Finn broke his opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. Emil conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | ||||
| R1 Borges | R2 Musetti | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 69-53 | 69-61 | 138-114 | |
| Total points | 122 | 130 | 252 | |
| Winners | 33 | 38 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 55% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 45/57 | 48/71 | 93/128 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 68% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 38/48 | 71/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 79% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 8/23 | 14/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 35% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/4 | 7/10 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ruusuvuori | ||||
| R1 Bonzi | R2 Khachanov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-2 6-1 | 7-62 2-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 29 | 57 | |
| pts | 114-97 | 101-94 | 215-191 | |
| Total points | 211 | 195 | 406 | |
| Winners | 33 | 41 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 41% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 51/98 | 58/96 | 109/194 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 33/51 | 41/58 | 74/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 71% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/47 | 20/38 | 45/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 8/25 | 3/8 | 11/33 | |
| Converted % | 32% | 38% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 5/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 63% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Hong Kong
- Julian Cash/Robert GallowayCash/Robert Galloway – Mackenzie McDonald/Botic van de ZandschulpMcDonald/Botic van de Zandschulp (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Pedro Cachin/Francisco CerundoloCachin/Francisco Cerundolo (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-2) – H2H and prediction