Lorenzo Giustino and Thai Kwiatkowski will play each other in the 2nd round of the Oeiras 1 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:00 pm on COURT 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thai Kwiatkowski who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Thai Kwiatkowski is the pick to win this match.
Thai Kwiatkowski -> 1.444
Lorenzo Giustino -> 2.64
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Giustino vs. Thai Kwiatkowski
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Giustino and Thai Kwiatkowski square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kwiatkowski (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Kwiatkowski won 6-2 6-3 in the 1st round in the Noumea Challenger back in 2018.
Lorenzo Giustino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-19 | 2-4 | 23-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 14-16 | 10-19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-37 | 3-5 | 19-26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-39 | 3-8 | 14-26 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-19 | 6-7 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 287, Lorenzo got to the 2nd round after defeating Michael Vrbensky 7-5 4-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, Lorenzo defeated Vrbensky (7-5 4-6 6-4). During the match, Giustino scored 115 points vs Vrbensky’s 108. Giustino was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Giustino blasted 3 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Lorenzo Giustino lost the serve 7 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Giustino put 61% of his first serves in, winning 58% (40/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (19/44) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Vrbensky 8 times after converting 62% of his break points (8/13).
Giustino has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (317-298). 1-0 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Giustino has a composed 27-33 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Giustino has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 1 Challenger
Thai Kwiatkowski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-14 | 17-5 | 1-6 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-24 | 23-15 | 7-3 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-24 | 5-9 | 9-6 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-9 | 11-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 322, Kwiatkowski reached the 2nd round after defeating Henrique Rocha 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Thai had a good straight sets win against Rocha (6-4 6-4). During the match Kwiatkowski scored 61 points vs Rocha’s 50. Kwiatkowski was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Kwiatkowski managed to score 8 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Thai Kwiatkowski was extremely effective on serve to win 90% (28/31) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Thai broke Rocha twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Kwiatkowski has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 1 Challenger
Kwiatkowski has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Giustino | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 20 |
| Pts | 115-108 | 61-50 |
| Total Points | 223 | 111 |
| Winners | 40 | 28 |
| %Winners | 35% | 46% |
Both Giustino and Kwiatkowski played 1 match. At the moment, Lorenzo Giustino surrendered 1 set while Thai Kwiatkowski hasn’t dropped a set so far. Giustino has played 1 set more than Kwiatkowski (3 vs 2). Therefore, Giustino played 12 games more than Kwiatkowski. Giustino scored 40 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Kwiatkowski struck 28 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Giustino | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 8 |
| 1st in | 69/113 | 31/50 |
| %1st in | 61% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 40/69 | 28/31 |
| %1st pts | 58% | 90% |
| 2nd pts | 19/44 | 12/19 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 63% |
Giustino fired 3 aces . Kwiatkowski scored 8 aces . Giustino won 58% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Kwiatkowski won 90% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Giustino | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 2 |
| Converted | 8/13 | 2/8 |
| % Converted | 62% | 25% |
| Conceded | 13 | 0 |
| Saved | 6 | 0 |
| % Saved | 46% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 0 |
The Italian broke his opponent 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Lorenzo dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded. Kwiatkowski broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. Kwiatkowski was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Giustino | |||
| R1 Vrbensky |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 115-108 | 115-108 | |
| Total points | 223 | 223 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 69/113 | 69/113 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 40/69 | 40/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/44 | 19/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/13 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 62% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/13 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 46% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 | |
| Kwiatkowski | |||
| R1 Rocha |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 61-50 | 61-50 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/50 | 31/50 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 28/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 90% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWLW
LWWLLLLLLW Tennis Scores in Oeiras 1 Challenger
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Mathias BourgueBourgue (6-4 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tristan LamasineLamasine – Jay ClarkeClarke (1-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski – Joao DominguesDomingues (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Alastair GrayGray (6-71 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cem IlkelIlkel – Gastao EliasElias (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thai KwiatkowskiKwiatkowski – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Vadym UrsuUrsu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paul JubbJubb – Joao SousaSousa (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Tristan LamasineLamasine (0-0) – H2H and prediction
