Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Brisbane International for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:30 pm on SHOW COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.3
Elise Mertens -> 3.54
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 5th time that Elena Rybakina and Elise Mertens clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Rybakina won 6-4 6-3 in the 4th round in Miami back in 2023.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Elise Mertens – Miami 27-March-2023
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Elena reached the 3rd round after beating Olivia Gadecki 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Gadecki (6-4 6-1). During the match, Rybakina scored 62 points vs Gadecki’s 45. Elena was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rybakina struck 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Elena Rybakina was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (28/35) of her 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Gadecki 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Rybakina has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 69% of her matches (290-132). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has an aggregate 128-66 record in the last years on hard.
Rybakina has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Rybakina has never competed in this tournament before.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 17-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, the Belgian reached the 3rd round after defeating Sloane Stephens 2-6 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Stephens, The Belgian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-1 6-3). During the match Mertens scored 69 points vs Stephens’s 60. The Belgian was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Mertens managed to score 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Elise Mertens lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 52% of her first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the 2nd serve. Mertens broke Stephens 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
The Belgian has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 24 |
| Pts | 62-45 | 69-60 |
| Total Points | 107 | 129 |
| Winners | 28 | 23 |
| %Winners | 45% | 33% |
Both Rybakina and Mertens played 1 match. At the moment, Elise Mertens lost 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 1 set(s) less than Mertens (2 vs 3). Therefore, Rybakina played 7 games less than Mertens. Elena scored 28 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian managed to score 23 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 35/53 | 33/63 |
| %1st in | 66% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 23/33 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 17/30 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 57% |
Rybakina struck 4 aces . Mertens managed to score 5 aces . Rybakina won 80% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 60% | 63% |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 |
| Saved | 3 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani quite strong on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Elise broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Mertens conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R2 Gadecki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 62-45 | 62-45 | |
| Total points | 107 | 107 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/53 | 35/53 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 28/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Mertens | |||
| R2 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 69-60 | 69-60 | |
| Total points | 129 | 129 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/63 | 33/63 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 23/33 | 23/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 17/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLLWWW
LWLLWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Lin ZhuZhu – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-6 6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (3-6 7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Daria SavilleSaville (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Julia RieraRiera – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Clara BurelBurel – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Sloane StephensStephens (2-6 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-1 7-68) – See score progression
- Arina RodionovaRodionova – Sofia KeninKenin (7-5 7-67) – See score progression
- Arthur De GreefDe Greef – Rogerio Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Mats MoraingMoraing – Martin CuevasCuevas (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Jurgen ZoppZopp (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Jan SatralSatral (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Marvin NetuschilNetuschil (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Daniel MasurMasur (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Yannick MadenMaden (4-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Dustin BrownBrown (3-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-6 6-3 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Sloane StephensStephens (2-6 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lin ZhuZhu (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (5-5) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Julia RieraRiera – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arina RodionovaRodionova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
