Jelena Ostapenko and Karolina Pliskova will play each other in the 3rd round of the Brisbane International for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.49
Karolina Pliskova -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Karolina Pliskova
This will be the 11th time that Jelena Ostapenko and Karolina Pliskova square off. The head to head is 5-5 (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Ostapenko won 1-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2023.
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Latvian reached the 3rd round after defeating Camila Giorgi 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Giorgi (6-1 6-4). During the match, Ostapenko scored 65 points vs Giorgi’s 44. Jelena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ostapenko recorded 9 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve once and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 89% (25/28) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Giorgi 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Ostapenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (283-190). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ostapenko has a composed 120-98 record in the last years on hard.
Ostapenko has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Jelena has never competed in this tournament before.
Karolina Pliskova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-10 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 19-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-21 | 12-9 | 6-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-19 | 23-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-8 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 39, the Czech got to the 3rd round after defeating Naomi Osaka 3-6 7-64 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Osaka, Karolina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-64 6-4). During the match Pliskova scored 101 points vs Osaka’s 100. Pliskova was quite aggressive to blast 58 winners.
Talking about serving, Pliskova managed to score 16 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Karolina Pliskova lost the serve twice and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Pliskova put 65% of her first serves in, winning 85% (58/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (13/36) on the 2nd serve. Karolina was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Osaka twice.
Pliskova has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 32 |
| Pts | 65-44 | 101-100 |
| Total Points | 109 | 201 |
| Winners | 25 | 58 |
| %Winners | 38% | 57% |
Both Ostapenko and Pliskova played 1 match. At the moment, Karolina Pliskova lost 1 set while Jelena Ostapenko hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ostapenko has played 1 set(s) less than Pliskova (2 vs 3). Therefore, Ostapenko played 15 games less than Pliskova. Jelena scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech recorded 58 winners (57%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 16 |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 68/104 |
| %1st in | 57% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 58/68 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 13/36 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 36% |
Ostapenko bagged 9 aces . Pliskova scored 16 aces . Ostapenko won 89% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Pliskova won 85% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 2/2 |
| % Converted | 44% | 100% |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 |
| Saved | 1 | 10 |
| % Saved | 50% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Ostapenko broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jelena conceded her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve twice and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||
| R2 Giorgi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 65-44 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 28/49 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 25/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 9/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Pliskova | |||
| R2 Osaka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 101-100 | 101-100 | |
| Total points | 201 | 201 | |
| Winners | 58 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 57% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 16 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 68/104 | 68/104 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 58/68 | 58/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/36 | 13/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWWWL
Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Daria SavilleSaville (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-6 6-3 7-67) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Julia RieraRiera – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (3-6 7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Clara BurelBurel – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Sloane StephensStephens (2-6 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-1 7-68) – See score progression
- Arina RodionovaRodionova – Sofia KeninKenin (7-5 7-67) – See score progression
- Arthur De GreefDe Greef – Rogerio Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Mats MoraingMoraing – Martin CuevasCuevas (6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Jurgen ZoppZopp (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Jan SatralSatral (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Pablo CuevasCuevas – Marvin NetuschilNetuschil (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Daniel MasurMasur (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Yannick MadenMaden (4-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Dustin BrownBrown (3-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Lin ZhuZhu – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-6 6-3 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Sloane StephensStephens (2-6 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Olivia GadeckiGadecki (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lin ZhuZhu (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (5-5) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Julia RieraRiera – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Arina RodionovaRodionova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-3) – H2H and prediction
