Varvara Gracheva and Lulu Sun will square off in the 2nd round of the ASB Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:30 pm on Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Varvara Gracheva who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Varvara Gracheva is the pick to win this match.
Varvara Gracheva -> 1.65
Lulu Sun -> 2.24
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Prediction and head to head Varvara Gracheva vs. Lulu Sun
There is no head to head record between Varvara Gracheva and Lulu Sun since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Varvara Gracheva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 11-13 | 15-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-30 | 23-18 | 7-6 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-32 | 7-11 | 12-14 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-31 | 11-10 | 7-10 | 9-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, the French player reached the 2nd round after beating Tereza Martincova 6-73 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round against Martincova, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 7-5 6-2). During the match, Gracheva scored 125 points vs Martincova’s 113. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gracheva fired 4 aces and she was not very steady on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 66% of her first serves in, winning 67% (50/75) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (14/38) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Martincova 8 times after converting 40% of her break points (8/20).
Gracheva has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 59% of her matches (236-163). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Gracheva has an overall64-61 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The French player has a compiled 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Auckland
Lulu Sun
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-21 | 17-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-20 | 23-10 | 4-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-24 | 16-12 | 7-6 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 27-13 | 19-9 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-11 | 24-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 214, Sun got to the 2nd round after beating Destanee Aiava 6-2 6-2, Viktoria Hruncakova 7-61 7-64 and Mccartney Kessler 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, LuluAnke had a good straight sets win against Kessler (6-4 6-3). During the match Sun scored 65 points vs Kessler’s 44. The Swiss was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Sun recorded 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lulu Sun was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Sun broke Kessler 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Sun has a composed 3-0 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Auckland
Sun has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gracheva | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 61 |
| Pts | 125-113 | 210-162 |
| Total Points | 238 | 372 |
| Winners | 50 | 88 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Gracheva played 1 match while Sun competed in 3 matches. Sun started her run from the qualifications while Gracheva had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Varvara Gracheva dropped 1 set while Lulu Sun hasn’t conceded a set so far. Gracheva has played 3 set(s) less than Sun (3 vs 6). Therefore, Gracheva played 28 games less than Sun. The French player scored 50 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Sun scored 88 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gracheva | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 7 |
| 1st in | 75/113 | 104/174 |
| %1st in | 66% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 50/75 | 88/104 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 14/38 | 34/70 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 49% |
Gracheva bagged 4 aces . Sun fired 21 aces (7 per match). Gracheva won 67% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Sun won 85% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gracheva | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 11 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 11/22 |
| % Converted | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Saved | 8 | 11 |
| % Saved | 62% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
The French player broke her opponent 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Varvara lost her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. LuluAnke broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gracheva | |||
| R1 Martincova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 125-113 | 125-113 | |
| Total points | 238 | 238 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 75/113 | 75/113 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 50/75 | 50/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/38 | 14/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/20 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 8/13 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 62% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Sun | |||||
| Q1 Aiava |
Q3 Kuzmova |
R1 Kessler |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-61 7-64 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 | 19 | 61 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 81-74 | 65-44 | 210-162 | |
| Total points | 108 | 155 | 109 | 372 | |
| Winners | 25 | 42 | 21 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 52% | 32% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 11 | 2 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 50/79 | 26/46 | 104/174 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 63% | 57% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 42/50 | 21/26 | 88/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 84% | 81% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/21 | 15/29 | 11/20 | 34/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 52% | 55% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 1/4 | 5/8 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 63% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 2/3 | 2/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 67% | 50% | 205% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLLLW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Cori GauffGauff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lulu SunSun – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xiyu WangWang – Diane ParryParry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
