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Lorenzo Musetti and Pavel Kotov will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.64
Pavel Kotov -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Pavel Kotov
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Pavel Kotov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Musetti won 7-6(2) 6-3 in the 1st round in the Milan Challenger back in 2019.
Lorenzo Musetti
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Lorenzo reached the 2nd round after beating Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Lam Coleman Wong (6-4 7-5). During the match, Musetti scored 77 points vs Lam Coleman Wong’s 66. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Musetti made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Lam Coleman Wong 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Musetti has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (175-131). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed38-34 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Musetti has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
Musetti has never competed in this tournament before.
Pavel Kotov
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 20-25 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 67, Pavel got to the 2nd round after beating Nuno Borges 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-2 6-4). During the match Kotov scored 69 points vs Borges’s 53. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Kotov blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pavel Kotov lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 79% of his first serves in, winning 73% (33/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Kotov broke Borges 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Pavel has an overall 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Musetti | Kotov |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
Tot Games | 22 | 18 |
Pts | 77-66 | 69-53 |
Total Points | 143 | 122 |
Winners | 32 | 33 |
%Winners | 42% | 48% |
Both Musetti and Kotov played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Kotov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Musetti played 4 games more than Kotov. The Italian scored 32 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Kotov managed to score 33 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Musetti | Kotov |
---|---|---|
Aces | 4 | 4 |
Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
1st in | 42/63 | 45/57 |
%1st in | 67% | 79% |
1st pts | 32/42 | 33/45 |
%1st pts | 76% | 73% |
2nd pts | 13/21 | 6/12 |
%2nd pts | 62% | 50% |
Musetti struck 4 aces . Kotov scored 4 aces . Musetti won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Musetti | Kotov |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 4 |
Converted | 3/8 | 4/6 |
% Converted | 38% | 67% |
Conceded | 3 | 3 |
Saved | 2 | 2 |
% Saved | 67% | 67% |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Musetti broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Lorenzo lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Kotov broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Pavel conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
Musetti | |||
R1 Lam Coleman Wong |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
pts | 77-66 | 77-66 | |
Total points | 143 | 143 | |
Winners | 32 | 32 | |
%Winners | 42% | 42% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 4 | 4 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 42/63 | 42/63 | |
% 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
1st pts | 32/42 | 32/42 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
2nd pts | 13/21 | 13/21 | |
% 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Kotov | |||
R1 Borges |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
pts | 69-53 | 69-53 | |
Total points | 122 | 122 | |
Winners | 33 | 33 | |
%Winners | 48% | 48% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 4 | 4 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 45/57 | 45/57 | |
% 1st in | 79% | 79% | |
1st pts | 33/45 | 33/45 | |
% 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
2nd pts | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
% 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Head 2 Head
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Tennis Scores in Hong Kong
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Taro DanielDaniel (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Francisco Cabral/Henry PattenCabral/Henry Patten (6-4 7-63) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Borna GojoGojo (6-3 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Marin CilicCilic (3-6 7-64 7-67) – See score progression
- Liam BroadyBroady – Pedro CachinCachin (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Benjamin BonziBonzi (6-75 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Juncheng ShangShang – Laslo DjereDjere (6-75 6-3 7-68) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexander Erler/Lucas MiedlerErler/Lucas Miedler – Fabian Marozsan/Sebastian OfnerMarozsan/Sebastian Ofner (6-4 6-75 10-8) – See score progression
- Pavel KotovKotov – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Borna GojoGojo (6-3 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Marin CilicCilic (3-6 7-6(4) 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Sebastian OfnerOfner (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Liam BroadyBroady (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Pavel KotovKotov (1-0) – H2H and prediction