H2H, prediction of Lorenzo Musetti vs Pavel Kotov in Hong Kong with odds, preview, pick | 3rd January 2024

PREVIEW. Hong Kong. Musetti and Kotov will square off in the 2nd round of the Hong Kong Tennis Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Wednesday the 3rd of January

Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Pavel Kotov

Lorenzo Musetti and Pavel Kotov will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.64
Pavel Kotov -> 2.26

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Pavel Kotov

This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Pavel Kotov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Musetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Musetti won 7-6(2) 6-3 in the 1st round in the Milan Challenger back in 2019.

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
17
High
15
WLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-2 3-2 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 27, Lorenzo reached the 2nd round after beating Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-4 7-5.

In the 1st round, Musetti had a good straight sets win against Lam Coleman Wong (6-4 7-5). During the match, Musetti scored 77 points vs Lam Coleman Wong’s 66. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Musetti made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Lam Coleman Wong 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Musetti has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (175-131). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed38-34 record in the last 7 years on hard.

Musetti has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Hong Kong

Musetti has never competed in this tournament before.

Musetti
Hong Kong
Musetti's Record

Pavel Kotov

Pavel Kotov
Pavel Kotov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
102
High
50
LWLLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-5 2-5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 20-25 9-11 11-9 0-4 0-1 0-0
2023 45-32 13-14 20-12 9-2 3-4 0-0
2022 37-20 5-3 20-9 12-8 0-0 0-0
2021 29-25 5-5 7-11 17-9 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 67, Pavel got to the 2nd round after beating Nuno Borges 6-2 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-2 6-4). During the match Kotov scored 69 points vs Borges’s 53. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Kotov blasted 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Pavel Kotov lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 79% of his first serves in, winning 73% (33/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Kotov broke Borges 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Pavel has an overall 1-0 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Kotov
Hong Kong
Kotov's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Musetti
P.Kotov
1h:46
1h:46
Time on court​
1h:28
1h:28
1h:46
1h:46
Last match​
1h:28
1h:28
1
1
Match played
1
1
22
22
Games Played​
18
18
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
77
77
Total points​
69
69
77
77
Avg point​
69
69
32
32
Winners
33
33
32
32
Avg Winners​
33
33
42%
42%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
4
4
4
4
Avg Aces
4
4
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2
2
32/42
32/42
1st won total​
33/45
33/45
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
13/21
13/21
2nd won total​
6/12
6/12
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
4/6
4/6
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
38%
38%
Won
!
67%
67%
3
3
Conceded
3
3
3
3
Avg Conceded
3
3
1
1
Broken
1
1
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Kotov
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 18
Pts 77-66 69-53
Total Points 143 122
Winners 32 33
%Winners 42% 48%

Both Musetti and Kotov played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Kotov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Musetti played 4 games more than Kotov. The Italian scored 32 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Kotov managed to score 33 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Kotov
Aces 4 4
Avg per match 4 4
1st in 42/63 45/57
%1st in 67% 79%
1st pts 32/42 33/45
%1st pts 76% 73%
2nd pts 13/21 6/12
%2nd pts 62% 50%

Musetti struck 4 aces . Kotov scored 4 aces . Musetti won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Kotov
Won 3 4
Converted 3/8 4/6
% Converted 38% 67%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2 2
% Saved 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1

Musetti broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Lorenzo lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Kotov broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Pavel conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R1
Lam Coleman Wong
Total
Score 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 77-66 77-66
Total points 143 143
Winners 32 32
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 42/63 42/63
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 32/42 32/42
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 13/21 13/21
% 2nd pts 62% 62%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1
Kotov
R1
Borges
Total
Score 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 69-53 69-53
Total points 122 122
Winners 33 33
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 45/57 45/57
% 1st in 79% 79%
1st pts 33/45 33/45
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 6/12 6/12
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 2/3 2
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Musetti
WLWWLW
Kotov
LWLLLLW
2025 2024 2023
4 - 2
2 - 5
3-2
Hard
2-5
1-0
Clay
0-0

Tennis Scores in Hong Kong

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw