Dominic Thiem and Rafael Nadal will square off in the 1st round of the Brisbane International for the 16th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 6:30 pm on PAT RAFTER ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Nadal who should win in 2 sets.
Rafael Nadal -> 1.39
Dominic Thiem -> 3.02
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Prediction and head to head Dominic Thiem vs. Rafael Nadal
This will be the 16th time that Dominic Thiem and Rafael Nadal face off. The head to head is 9-6 for Nadal (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Thiem won 7-6(7) 7-6(4) in the R in Nitto atp finals back in 2020.
Highlights Dominic Thiem vs Rafael Nadal – Nitto atp finals 17-November-2020
Dominic Thiem
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-30 | 1-5 | 18-15 | 8-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 2-2 | 8-11 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-9 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-9 | 14-4 | 6-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 98, the Austrian got to the 1st round after defeating James McCabe 2-6 7-64 6-4 and Giulio Zeppieri 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications against Zeppieri, The Austrian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Thiem scored less points (5) than Zeppieri. In fact, the world no. 98 won 91 points vs Zeppieri’s. That means that Thiem was more focused during the important points. Dominic was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Thiem managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Dominic Thiem lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Thiem put 64% of his first serves in, winning 79% (49/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (12/35) on the 2nd serve. The Austrian broke Zeppieri twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Austrian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 50% of the points he played.
Thiem has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (334-186). 2-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Thiem has a compiled 95-61 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Austrian has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Brisbane
Rafael Nadal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-8 | 2-1 | 10-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-8 | 23-3 | 10-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-5 | 5-2 | 19-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-7 | 13-3 | 9-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 672, Rafael will start his run in Brisbane after he played his last match at the Australian Open where he lost 6-4 6-4 7-5
to Mcdonald in the 2nd round on the 18th of January.This will be the first match of the year on hard.
In terms of his career, Rafael has an overall 1107-230 record. He has a positive 442-112 record on hard.
Tennis Scores in Brisbane
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 6-75 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneRune – Max PurcellPurcell (4-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-4 6-75 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Marc Lopez/Rafael NadalLopez/Rafael Nadal (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (8-4) – H2H and prediction
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Jason Murray KublerMurray Kubler (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Rafael NadalNadal (6-9) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Li TuTu – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lukas KleinKlein – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jeff WolfWolf – James DuckworthDuckworth (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction