Elias Ymer and Denis Yevseyev will face off in the 2nd round of the Maia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elias Ymer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elias Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Elias Ymer -> 1.6
Denis Yevseyev -> 2.23
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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Denis Yevseyev
There is no head to head record between Elias Ymer and Denis Yevseyev since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-28 | 4-12 | 6-9 | 6-6 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 1-4 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 159, the Swede got to the 2nd round after beating Marco Trungelliti 6-73 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round against Trungelliti, The Swede recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-2 6-4). During the match, Ymer scored 128 points vs Trungelliti’s 117. Elias was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ymer struck 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 60% of his first serves in, winning 68% (43/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (24/42) on the 2nd serve. Elias broke Trungelliti 6 times after converting 33% of his break points (6/18).
Ymer has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (347-281). 23-16 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ymer has an overall 210-133 record in the last years on clay.
Ymer’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger.
Elias has an overall 41-40 win-loss record in 2023, 23-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Maia Challenger
Denis Yevseyev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-33 | 14-14 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-14 | 10-9 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197 (career-high), Yevseyev got to the 2nd round after defeating Stefanos Sakellaridis 6-2 7-65.
In the 1st round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Sakellaridis (6-2 7-65). During the match Yevseyev scored 81 points vs Sakellaridis’s 69. Denis was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Yevseyev scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Denis Yevseyev lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 81% (34/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Yevseyev broke Sakellaridis 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Astana Challenger where he overcame Khumoun Sultanov in the final 7-5 2-6 6-4.
Denis has a composed 50-35 win-loss record in 2023, 16-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Maia Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ymer | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 21 |
| Pts | 128-117 | 81-69 |
| Total Points | 245 | 150 |
| Winners | 43 | 34 |
| %Winners | 34% | 42% |
Both Ymer and Yevseyev played 1 match. At the moment, Elias Ymer surrendered 1 set while Denis Yevseyev hasn’t lost a set so far. Ymer has played 1 set more than Yevseyev (3 vs 2). Therefore, Ymer played 10 games more than Yevseyev. The Swede scored 43 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Denis fired 34 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ymer | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1 |
| 1st in | 63/105 | 42/64 |
| %1st in | 60% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 43/63 | 34/42 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 24/42 | 11/22 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 50% |
Ymer recorded 6 aces . Yevseyev recorded 1 ace . Ymer won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Yevseyev won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ymer | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/18 | 3/11 |
| % Converted | 33% | 27% |
| Conceded | 13 | 5 |
| Saved | 10 | 4 |
| % Saved | 77% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
Elias broke his opponent 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. Elias surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Yevseyev broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Yevseyev conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ymer | |||
| R1 Trungelliti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 128-117 | 128-117 | |
| Total points | 245 | 245 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 63/105 | 63/105 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 43/63 | 43/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/42 | 24/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Yevseyev | |||
| R1 Sakellaridis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 81-69 | 81-69 | |
| Total points | 150 | 150 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/64 | 42/64 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 34/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/22 | 11/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/11 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLWLWW
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Matteo MartineauMartineau (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Joao SousaSousa – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (2-9) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Enrico Dalla ValleDalla Valle (0-0) – H2H and prediction
