Alejandro Tabilo and Roman Andres Burruchaga will face off in the final of the Brasilia Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 10:00 am on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alejandro Tabilo who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alejandro Tabilo is the pick to win this match.
Alejandro Tabilo -> 1.42
Roman Andres Burruchaga -> 2.76
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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Tabilo vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga
This will be the 3rd time that Alejandro Tabilo and Roman Andres Burruchaga play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Tabilo (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Tabilo won 6-2 7-5 in the quarter in the Lima 2 Challenger back in November 2023.
Alejandro Tabilo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-12 | 10-3 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-26 | 13-5 | 39-19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 7-6 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-30 | 13-9 | 22-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-11 | 5-2 | 11-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the Chilean got to the final after beating Jose Statham 6-4 6-4, Ignacio Buse 6-4 7-65, Mateus Alves 6-4 6-4, Bernard Tomic 6-4 6-74 7-69 and Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-4 3-6 6-2.
In the semifinal, Tabilo defeated Pablo Ficovich (6-4 3-6 6-2). During the match, Tabilo scored 81 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 76. Tabilo was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tabilo blasted 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Alejandro Tabilo was extremely effective on serve to win 73% (38/52) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chilean broke Pablo Ficovich 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alejandro started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Tabilo has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (296-192). 12-5 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Tabilo has an aggregate79-53 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Francavilla Challenger where he defeated Benoit Paire in the final 6-1 7-5 and the Karlsruhe Challenger where he defeated Giulio Zeppieri in the final 2-6 1-0 ret. and the Guayaquil Challenger where he overcame Daniel Elahi Galan in the final 6-2 6-2.
Tabilo has an overall 51-26 win-loss record in 2023, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brasilia Challenger
Alejandro has never competed in this tournament before.
Roman Andres Burruchaga
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 1-2 | 22-13 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-30 | 4-2 | 35-28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-32 | 5-3 | 40-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 18-9 | 25-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-9 | 5-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 211 (career-high), Roman got to the final after beating Hernan Casanova 1-6 7-5 6-1, Joao Fonseca 4-6 6-4 6-4, Tristan Boyer 7-63 6-1 and Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 6-4 6-3.
In the semifinal, Roman had a good straight sets win against Rodriguez Taverna (6-4 6-3). During the match Andres scored 66 points vs Rodriguez Taverna’s 52. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Andres struck 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Roman Andres Burruchaga lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Andres put 67% of his first serves in, winning 83% (30/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Rodriguez Taverna 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andres has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Argentine’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Coquimbo Challenger,the Vicenza Challenger,the Santa Fe Challenger,the Antofagasta Challenger,the Guayaquil Challenger and the Brasilia Challenger.
Roman has a compiled 39-29 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tabilo | Andres |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 126 | 95 |
| Pts | 400-346 | 326-267 |
| Total Points | 746 | 593 |
| Winners | 192 | 136 |
| %Winners | 48% | 42% |
Tabilo played 5 matches while Andres competed in 4 matches. Tabilo started his run from the qualifications while Andres had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alejandro Tabilo lost 2 sets, while Roman Andres Burruchaga conceded 2 sets. Tabilo has played 2 sets more than Andres (12 vs 10). Therefore, Tabilo played 31 games more than Andres. Tabilo scored 192 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Andres bagged 136 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tabilo | Andres |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 67 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 13.4 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 238/365 | 170/280 |
| %1st in | 65% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 192/238 | 136/170 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 71/127 | 55/110 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 50% |
Tabilo fired 67 aces (13.4 per match). Andres managed to score 26 aces (6.5 per match). Tabilo won 81% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Andres won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tabilo | Andres |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 14 |
| Converted | 12/28 | 14/32 |
| % Converted | 43% | 44% |
| Conceded | 12 | 20 |
| Saved | 8 | 12 |
| % Saved | 67% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 8 |
Tabilo broke his opponents 12 times with a 43% conversion rate. Alejandro dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Roman broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. Roman conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tabilo | |||||||
| Q3 Statham |
R1 Buse |
R2 Alves |
1/4 Tomic |
1/2 Pablo Ficovich |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 7-65 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-74 7-69 | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 20 | 36 | 27 | 126 | |
| pts | 63-54 | 74-66 | 67-49 | 115-101 | 81-76 | 400-346 | |
| Total points | 117 | 140 | 116 | 216 | 157 | 746 | |
| Winners | 33 | 37 | 31 | 53 | 38 | 192 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 50% | 46% | 46% | 47% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 14 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 9 | 67 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 40/63 | 45/71 | 37/53 | 64/101 | 52/77 | 238/365 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | 70% | 63% | 68% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 33/40 | 37/45 | 31/37 | 53/64 | 38/52 | 192/238 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 82% | 84% | 83% | 73% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 13/26 | 12/16 | 21/37 | 14/25 | 71/127 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 75% | 57% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 3/11 | 3/6 | 12/28 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 50% | 27% | 50% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 0/2 | 2/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 100% | 0% | 67% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Andres | |||||||
| R1 Casanova |
R2 Fonseca |
1/4 Boyer |
1/2 Rodriguez Taverna |
Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-5 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | 7-63 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | |||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | ||
| Tot Games | 26 | 30 | 20 | 19 | 95 | ||
| pts | 88-74 | 101-86 | 71-55 | 66-52 | 326-267 | ||
| Total points | 162 | 187 | 126 | 118 | 593 | ||
| Winners | 33 | 44 | 29 | 30 | 136 | ||
| %Winners | 38% | 44% | 41% | 45% | 42% | ||
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | ||
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18 | ||
| 1st in | 44/70 | 55/93 | 35/63 | 36/54 | 170/280 | ||
| % 1st in | 63% | 59% | 56% | 67% | 61% | ||
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 44/55 | 29/35 | 30/36 | 136/170 | ||
| % 1st pts | 75% | 80% | 83% | 83% | 80% | ||
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 19/38 | 17/28 | 7/18 | 55/110 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 50% | 61% | 39% | 50% | ||
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | ||
| Converted | 5/14 | 3/8 | 2/4 | 4/6 | 14/32 | ||
| Converted % | 36% | 38% | 50% | 67% | 44% | ||
| Conceded | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | ||
| Saved | 5/9 | 4/6 | 3/3 | 0/2 | 12 | ||
| Saved % | 56% | 67% | 100% | 0% | 45% | ||
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | ||
Head 2 Head
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