Roberto Bautista Agut and Fabio Fognini will fight against each other in the final of the Valencia Challenger for the 12th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:30 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Bautista Agut who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roberto Bautista Agut is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Bautista Agut -> 1.533
Fabio Fognini -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Fabio Fognini
This will be the 12th time that Roberto Bautista Agut and Fabio Fognini fight against each other. The head to head is 8-3 for Fognini (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Fognini won 7-6(5) 6-4 4-6 6-1 in the 3rd round in at the French Open back in 2019.
Roberto Bautista Agut
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-18 | 6-6 | 10-7 | 1-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-23 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 2-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-20 | 17-9 | 7-3 | 9-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 14-10 | 7-7 | 4-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-8 | 13-4 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, Roberto reached the final after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-4, Andrea Pellegrino 7-5 6-3, Alejandro Moro Canas 6-2 7-5 and Denis Yevseyev 6-3 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Yevseyev (6-3 6-1). During the match, Bautista-Agut scored 61 points vs Yevseyev’s 33. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bautista-Agut scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Roberto Bautista Agut was exceptionally effective on serve to win 95% (18/19) of his 1st serve and 88% (14/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bautista-Agut broke Yevseyev 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bautista-Agut hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Bautista-Agut has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (368-213). 8-7 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bautista-Agut has a composed 90-60 record in the last years on clay.
The Spaniard’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide.
The Spaniard has an overall 22-22 win-loss record in 2023, 8-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Valencia Challenger
Bautista-Agut has never competed in this tournament before.
Fabio Fognini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-15 | 4-5 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-23 | 0-8 | 23-12 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-26 | 10-9 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-24 | 12-12 | 7-8 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 131, Fognini reached the final after defeating Riccardo Bonadio 2-6 7-5 6-1, Jozef Kovalik 6-1 4-6 6-3, Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 7-5 and Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, Fognini had a good straight sets win against Ramos-Vinolas (6-4 6-1). During the match Fognini scored 61 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 41. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 18 winners.
About the serving games, Fognini struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Fognini put 50% of his first serves in, winning 64% (18/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. Fognini broke Ramos-Vinolas 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fabio has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Genova Challenger.
Fognini has an overall 26-23 win-loss record in 2023, 21-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bautista-Agut | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 92 |
| Pts | 265-192 | 329-266 |
| Total Points | 457 | 595 |
| Winners | 105 | 114 |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% |
Both Bautista-Agut and Fognini played 4 matches. At the moment, Fabio Fognini conceded 2 sets while Roberto Bautista Agut hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bautista-Agut has played 2 set(s) less than Fognini (8 vs 10). Therefore, Bautista-Agut played 16 games less than Fognini. Bautista-Agut scored 105 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian bagged 114 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bautista-Agut | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 141/222 | 161/302 |
| %1st in | 64% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 105/141 | 114/161 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 50/81 | 72/141 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 51% |
Bautista-Agut fired 4 aces (1 per match). Fognini recorded 11 aces (2.8 per match). Bautista-Agut won 74% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Fognini won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bautista-Agut | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 21 |
| Converted | 15/28 | 21/45 |
| % Converted | 54% | 47% |
| Conceded | 9 | 37 |
| Saved | 5 | 25 |
| % Saved | 56% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 12 |
The Spaniard broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 21 times with a 47% conversion rate. Fabio conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bautista-Agut | ||||||
| R1 Vavassori |
R2 Pellegrino |
1/4 Moro Canas |
1/2 Yevseyev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 20 | 16 | 76 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 71-59 | 68-51 | 61-33 | 265-192 | |
| Total points | 114 | 130 | 119 | 94 | 457 | |
| Winners | 31 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 38% | 43% | 30% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/58 | 46/72 | 39/57 | 19/35 | 141/222 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | 68% | 54% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 27/46 | 29/39 | 18/19 | 105/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 59% | 74% | 95% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 15/26 | 10/18 | 14/16 | 50/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 58% | 56% | 88% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 5/5 | 4/7 | 4/11 | 15/28 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 100% | 57% | 36% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/7 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 0% | – | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Fognini | ||||||
| R1 Bonadio |
R2 Kovalik |
1/4 Herbert |
1/2 Ramos-Vinolas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-5 6-1 | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 26 | 22 | 17 | 92 | |
| pts | 94-82 | 94-77 | 80-66 | 61-41 | 329-266 | |
| Total points | 176 | 171 | 146 | 102 | 595 | |
| Winners | 30 | 35 | 31 | 18 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 37% | 39% | 30% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 40/87 | 47/93 | 46/66 | 28/56 | 161/302 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 51% | 70% | 50% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 35/47 | 31/46 | 18/28 | 114/161 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 74% | 67% | 64% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/47 | 22/46 | 7/20 | 15/28 | 72/141 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 48% | 35% | 54% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 21 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 6/13 | 6/13 | 6/9 | 21/45 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 46% | 46% | 67% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 9/12 | 4/8 | 7/10 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 75% | 50% | 70% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
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