Pedro Sakamoto and Juan Pablo Paz will face off in the qualifications of the Brasilia Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pedro Sakamoto who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pedro Sakamoto is the pick to win this match.
Pedro Sakamoto -> 1.33
Juan Pablo Paz -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Pedro Sakamoto vs. Juan Pablo Paz
This will be the 4th time that Pedro Sakamoto and Juan Pablo Paz square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Sakamoto (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sakamoto won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the quarter in Chile F8 back in 2016.
Pedro Sakamoto
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-12 | 1-1 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-24 | 4-2 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-24 | 2-3 | 19-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 14-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 377, the Brazilian reached the qualifications after beating Gabriel Decamps 6-1 3-6 7-63.
In the qualifications, The Brazilian defeated Decamps (6-1 3-6 7-63). During the match, Sakamoto scored 89 points vs Decamps’s 80. Pedro was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sakamoto made 4 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Pedro Sakamoto was very efficient on serve to win 77% (44/57) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Brazilian broke Decamps 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Sakamoto has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (319-229). 1-0 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakamoto has a compiled 13-19 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Brazilian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Lajeado.
Pedro has a compiled 36-22 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brasilia Challenger
Juan Pablo Paz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-33 | 1-2 | 43-31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-30 | 0-1 | 46-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 50-32 | 0-0 | 50-32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-15 | 4-5 | 24-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 579, Pablo Paz reached the qualifications after beating Gabriel Roveri Sidney 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Pablo Paz had a good straight sets win against Roveri Sidney (6-3 6-4). During the match Pablo Paz scored 57 points vs Roveri Sidney’s 42. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 13 winners.
About the serving games, Pablo Paz recorded 4 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Juan Pablo Paz was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (13/15) of his 1st serve and 85% (23/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Juan broke Roveri Sidney 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Juan’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Bucharest and M15 Constanta.
Pablo Paz has a compiled 43-29 win-loss record in 2023, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakamoto | Pablo Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 19 |
| Pts | 89-80 | 57-42 |
| Total Points | 169 | 99 |
| Winners | 44 | 13 |
| %Winners | 49% | 23% |
Both Sakamoto and Pablo Paz played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Pedro Sakamoto lost 1 set while Juan Pablo Paz hasn’t lost a set so far. Sakamoto has played 1 set more than Pablo Paz (3 vs 2). Therefore, Sakamoto played 10 games more than Pablo Paz. Pedro scored 44 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine fired 13 winners (23%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakamoto | Pablo Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 57/85 | 15/42 |
| %1st in | 67% | 36% |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 13/15 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 23/27 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 85% |
Sakamoto recorded 4 aces . Pablo Paz managed to score 4 aces . Sakamoto won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Pablo Paz won 87% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 85% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakamoto | Pablo Paz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 |
| Saved | 4 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Pedro broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Sakamoto lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Juan was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Sakamoto | |||
| Q1 Decamps |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 89-80 | 89-80 | |
| Total points | 169 | 169 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 57/85 | 57/85 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 44/57 | 44/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/28 | 17/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Pablo Paz | |||
| Q1 Roveri Sidney |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 57-42 | 57-42 | |
| Total points | 99 | 99 | |
| Winners | 13 | 13 | |
| %Winners | 23% | 23% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 15/42 | 15/42 | |
| % 1st in | 36% | 36% | |
| 1st pts | 13/15 | 13/15 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/27 | 23/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 85% | 85% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWLWL
LLWLWWLLLW 
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