Alex Michelsen and Patrick Kypson will clash against each other in the final of the Champaign Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on COURT 1 at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.54
Patrick Kypson -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Patrick Kypson

This will be the 2^nd time that Alex Michelsen and Patrick Kypson face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kypson (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, Kypson won 4-6 6-3 7-6(5) in the 1^st round in the Savannah Challenger back in April 2023.

Alex Michelsen

Ranked no. 99 (career-high), Alex got to the final after defeating Bernard Tomic 6-4 6-0, Sebastian Fanselow 6-3 6-2, Martin Damm 6-1 1-6 6-4 and Titouan Droguet 2-6 6-4 6-3

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In the semifinal against Droguet, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Michelsen scored 85 points vs Droguet’s 80. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Regarding the service games, Michelsen fired 2 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 76% of his first serves in, winning 70% (50/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Droguet twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Michelsen has surrendered 2 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Michelsen has a fantastic record in the last 2 years having won 72% of his matches (84-33). 19-3 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michelsen has an overall28-4 match record in the last 2 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he beat Yuta Shimizu in the final 7-5 6-2 and the Knoxville Challenger where he overcame Denis Kudla in the final 7-5 4-6 6-2.

Alex has a composed 61-23 win-loss record in 2023, 19-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Champaign Challenger

Alex has never competed in this tournament before.

Patrick Kypson

Ranked no. 239 (career-high), Patrick reached the final after defeating Mark Whitehouse 6-1 7-6⁵, Kenta Miyoshi 6-3 6-1, Aleksandar Kovacevic 7-6² 4-6 6-3 and Ethan Quinn 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Quinn (6-4 6-2). During the match Kypson scored 67 points vs Quinn’s 53. Patrick was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Kypson recorded 9 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Patrick Kypson conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Kypson put 70% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Quinn 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Patrick has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Medellin Challenger where he defeated Benjamin Lock in the final 6-3 6-3.

Kypson has an aggregate 37-21 win-loss record in 2023, 10-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Champaign Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Michelsen	Kypson
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	10	9
Tot Games	84	86
Pts	286-223	302-236
Total Points	509	538
Winners	136	143
%Winners	48%	47%

Both Michelsen and Kypson played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen surrendered 2 sets, while Patrick Kypson conceded 1 set. Michelsen has played 1 set more than Kypson (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Michelsen played 2 games less than Kypson. The American scored 136 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Patrick blasted 143 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Michelsen	Kypson
Aces	18	44
Avg per match	4.5	11
1st in	173/245	176/270
%1st in	71%	65%
1st pts	136/173	143/176
%1st pts	79%	81%
2nd pts	39/72	50/94
%2nd pts	54%	53%

Michelsen managed to score 18 aces (4.5 per match). Kypson made 44 aces (11 per match). Michelsen won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kypson won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Michelsen	Kypson
Won	12	11
Converted	12/23	11/23
% Converted	52%	48%
Conceded	13	16
Saved	9	15
% Saved	69%	94%
Times Broken	4	1

Alex broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Kypson broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 94% of the break points that he conceded.

Michelsen
	R1 Tomic	R2 Fanselow	1/4 Damm	1/2 Droguet	Total
Score	6-4 6-0	6-3 6-2	6-1 1-6 6-4	2-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	16	17	24	27	84
pts	62-35	59-42	80-66	85-80	286-223
Total points	97	101	146	165	509
Winners	21	30	35	50	136
%Winners	34%	51%	44%	59%	48%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	6	2	18
Double Faults	2	3	2	0	7
1st in	24/42	36/48	42/62	71/93	173/245
% 1st in	57%	75%	68%	76%	71%
1st pts	21/24	30/36	35/42	50/71	136/173
% 1st pts	88%	83%	83%	70%	79%
2nd pts	12/18	6/12	10/20	11/22	39/72
% 2nd pts	67%	50%	50%	50%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	3	3	2	12
Converted	4/7	3/4	3/9	2/3	12/23
Converted %	57%	75%	33%	67%	52%
Conceded	2	0	3	8	13
Saved	2/2	0/0	1/3	6/8	9
Saved %	100%	–	33%	75%	52%
Times Broken	0	0	2	2	4

Kypson
	R1 Whitehouse	R2 Miyoshi	1/4 Kovacevic	1/2 Quinn	Total
Score	6-1 7-65	6-3 6-1	7-62 4-6 6-3	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	9
Tot Games	20	16	32	18	86
pts	70-52	58-34	107-97	67-53	302-236
Total points	122	92	204	120	538
Winners	31	22	60	30	143
%Winners	44%	38%	56%	45%	47%
SERVE
Aces	11	8	16	9	44
Double Faults	2	1	3	0	6
1st in	36/55	27/47	74/112	39/56	176/270
% 1st in	65%	57%	66%	70%	65%
1st pts	31/36	22/27	60/74	30/39	143/176
% 1st pts	86%	81%	81%	77%	81%
2nd pts	13/19	12/20	17/38	8/17	50/94
% 2nd pts	68%	60%	45%	47%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	4	1	3	11
Converted	3/8	4/6	1/3	3/6	11/23
Converted %	38%	67%	33%	50%	48%
Conceded	2	0	12	2	16
Saved	2/2	0/0	11/12	2/2	15
Saved %	100%	–	92%	100%	73%
Times Broken	0	0	1	0	1

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Patrick KypsonKypson – (1-0) – H2H and prediction