H2H, prediction of Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz in Nitto ATP Finals with odds, preview, pick | 18th November 2023

PREVIEW. Nitto ATP Finals. Djokovic and Alcaraz will face off in the semifinal of the Nitto ATP Finals. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 18th of November

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz will face off in the semifinal of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 9:00 pm on Centre Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.666
Carlos Alcaraz -> 2.21

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Carlos Alcaraz

This will be the 5th time that Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz square off. The head to head is 2-2 for Djokovic and Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they fought against each other, Djokovic won 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4) in the final in Cincinnati back in August 2023.

Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz – Cincinnati 20-August-2023

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic
Novak Djokovic

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 7-2 7-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 56-7 27-1 12-3 11-2 6-1 0-0
2022 42-7 2-1 14-4 19-2 7-0 0-0
2021 55-7 19-3 18-3 11-1 7-0 0-0
2020 41-5 26-1 11-1 4-3 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Serbian got to the semifinal after defeating Holger Rune 7-64 6-71 6-3 and Hubert Hurkacz 7-61 4-6 6-1.

In the previous match, Novak defeated Hurkacz (7-61 4-6 6-1). During the match, Djokovic scored 93 points vs Hurkacz’s 77. Novak was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Djokovic fired 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Novak Djokovic was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (38/51) of his 1st serve and 73% (22/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Serbian broke Hurkacz twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Djokovic has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Djokovic has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (541-80). 8-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a composed 88-15 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) and at the French Open where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(1) 6-3 7-5 and in Cincinnati where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4) and at the U.S. Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Paris where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3.

Novak has an aggregate 53-6 win-loss record in 2023, 8-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

Djokovic
Turin
Djokovic's Record

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
LLWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 6-3 4-1 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Alcaraz got to the semifinal after defeating Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-2 and Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-4.

In the previous match, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-4 6-4). During the match Alcaraz scored 61 points vs Medvedev’s 51. Alcaraz was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Alcaraz struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Carlos Alcaraz was very effective on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alcaraz broke Medvedev twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Buenos Aires where he overcame Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.

Carlos has a composed 65-11 win-loss record in 2023, 2-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.

Alcaraz
Turin
Alcaraz's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

N.Djokovic
C.Alcaraz
!
6h:52
6h:52
Time on court​
2h:34
2h:34
!
2h:05
2h:05
Last match​
1h:20
1h:20
3
3
Match played
3
3
103
103
Games Played​
72
72
9
9
Set played​​
7
7
252
252
Total points​
126
126
84
84
Avg point​
42
42
121
121
Winners
63
63
40.3
40.3
Avg Winners​
21
21
48%
48%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
24
24
Aces
8
8
8
8
Avg Aces
2.7
2.7
6
6
Double Faults
1
1
2
2
Avg Double Faults
0.3
0.3
121/174
121/174
1st won total​
63/75
63/75
70%
70%
1st won %
!
84%
84%
48/89
48/89
2nd won total​
18/28
18/28
54%
54%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
6/17
6/17
BP won
5/11
5/11
2/5.7
2/5.7
Avg BP won
1.7/3.7
1.7/3.7
35%
35%
Won
45%
45%
15
15
Conceded
2
2
5
5
Avg Conceded
0.7
0.7
7
7
Broken
0
0
2.3
2.3
Avg Broken
!
0
0
8
8
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Djokovic Alcaraz
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 4
Tot Games 65 40
Pts 204-183 126-94
Total Points 387 220
Winners 93 63
%Winners 46% 50%

Both Djokovic and Alcaraz played 2 matches. At the moment, Novak Djokovic lost 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t lost a set so far. Djokovic has played 2 sets more than Alcaraz (6 vs 4). Therefore, Djokovic played 25 games more than Alcaraz. Djokovic scored 93 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard managed to score 63 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Djokovic Alcaraz
Aces 16 8
Avg per match 8 4
1st in 125/189 75/103
%1st in 66% 73%
1st pts 93/125 63/75
%1st pts 74% 84%
2nd pts 36/64 18/28
%2nd pts 56% 64%

Djokovic fired 16 aces (8 per match). Alcaraz recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Djokovic won 74% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Alcaraz won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Djokovic Alcaraz
Won 6 5
Converted 6/15 5/11
% Converted 40% 45%
Conceded 7 2
Saved 3 2
% Saved 43% 100%
Times Broken 4 0

Djokovic broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Serbian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Alcaraz broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Carlos was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Djokovic
Round Robin
Hurkacz
Round Robin
Sinner
Round Robin
Rune
Total
Score 7-61 4-6 6-1 7-5 6-75 7-62 7-64 6-71 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 30 38 35 103
pts 93-77 111-106 204-183
Total points 170 0 217 387
Winners 38 55 93
%Winners 41% 0% 50% 46%
SERVE
Aces 6 0 10 16
Double Faults 1 4 5
1st in 51/81 / 74/108 125/189
% 1st in 63% 0% 69% 66%
1st pts 38/51 / 55/74 93/125
% 1st pts 75% 0% 74% 74%
2nd pts 22/30 / 14/34 36/64
% 2nd pts 73% 0% 41% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/7 / 4/8 6/15
Converted % 29% 0% 50% 40%
Conceded 1 6 7
Saved 0/1 0/ 3/6 3
Saved % 0% 50% 17%
Times Broken 1 3 4
Alcaraz
Round Robin
Medvedev
Round Robin
Rublev
Round Robin
Zverev
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 7-5 6-2 6-73 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 20 20 32 72
pts 61-51 65-43 126-94
Total points 112 108 0 220
Winners 31 32 63
%Winners 51% 49% 0% 50%
SERVE
Aces 3 5 0 8
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 41/56 34/47 / 75/103
% 1st in 73% 72% 0% 73%
1st pts 31/41 32/34 / 63/75
% 1st pts 76% 94% 0% 84%
2nd pts 10/15 8/13 / 18/28
% 2nd pts 67% 62% 0% 64%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/5 3/6 / 5/11
Converted % 40% 50% 0% 45%
Conceded 2 0 2
Saved 2/2 0/0 0/ 2
Saved % 100% 33%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Djokovic
LWWWWWLWW
Alcaraz
LLWWLWWWW
2024 2023 2022
7 - 2
6 - 3
7-2
Hard
4-1
0-0
Clay
2-2
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw