Facundo Bagnis and Gustavo Heide will fight against each other in the quarter of the Montevideo Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on CANCHA 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Facundo Bagnis who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Facundo Bagnis is the pick to win this match.
Facundo Bagnis -> 1.43
Gustavo Heide -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Facundo Bagnis vs. Gustavo Heide
This will be the 2nd time that Facundo Bagnis and Gustavo Heide play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bagnis (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Bagnis won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Sao Leopoldo Challenger back in 2022.
Facundo Bagnis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-13 | 1-2 | 27-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 4-6 | 23-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-29 | 9-9 | 37-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-23 | 2-5 | 35-16 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 1-2 | 24-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 205, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Guido Andreozzi 6-3 6-2 and Edoardo Lavagno 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Lavagno (6-1 6-2). During the match, Bagnis scored 60 points vs Lavagno’s 36. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bagnis scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Facundo Bagnis lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bagnis put 59% of his first serves in, winning 69% (20/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Lavagno 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 61% of the points he played.
Bagnis has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (377-250). 23-19 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bagnis has an overall 347-203 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Argentine has an overall 27-25 win-loss record in 2023, 23-19 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montevideo Challenger
Gustavo Heide
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15-10 | 0-0 | 15-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-22 | 9-5 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-13 | 3-2 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-14 | 4-5 | 27-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 270, Gustavo got to the quarter after beating Ignacio Carou 6-3 7-5 and Max Houkes 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Houkes (6-1 6-3). During the match Heide scored 64 points vs Houkes’s 47. Gustavo was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Heide recorded 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Gustavo Heide lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Heide put 58% of his first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. Gustavo broke Houkes 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Bogota Challenger where he overcame Thiago Agustin Tirante in the final w/o.
Heide has an overall 30-19 win-loss record in 2023, 23-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montevideo Challenger
Gustavo has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bagnis | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 37 |
| Pts | 125-81 | 129-99 |
| Total Points | 206 | 228 |
| Winners | 42 | 49 |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% |
Both Bagnis and Heide played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bagnis and Heide have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Bagnis played 5 games less than Heide. The Argentine scored 42 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Heide struck 49 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bagnis | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 62/107 | 70/120 |
| %1st in | 58% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 42/62 | 49/70 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 32/45 | 26/50 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 52% |
Bagnis fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Heide struck 4 aces (2 per match). Bagnis won 68% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Heide won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bagnis | Heide |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 11 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 11/15 |
| % Converted | 57% | 73% |
| Conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 86% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Facundo broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Bagnis conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 11 times with a 73% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bagnis | ||||
| R1 Andreozzi |
R2 Lavagno |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 32 | |
| pts | 65-45 | 60-36 | 125-81 | |
| Total points | 110 | 96 | 206 | |
| Winners | 22 | 20 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/58 | 29/49 | 62/107 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 22/33 | 20/29 | 42/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/25 | 13/20 | 32/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 65% | 71% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/7 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 71% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 2/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heide | ||||
| R1 Carou |
R2 Houkes |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 16 | 37 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 64-47 | 129-99 | |
| Total points | 117 | 111 | 228 | |
| Winners | 25 | 24 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 34/58 | 36/62 | 70/120 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 24/36 | 49/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 67% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 15/26 | 26/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 58% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 5/8 | 11/15 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 63% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 80% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWWLL
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