Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune will fight against each other in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on Centrale. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.32
Holger Rune -> 3.4

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Holger Rune

This will be the 3^rd time that Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played, Rune won 1-6 7-5 7-5 in the semifinal in Monte carlo back in April 2023.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Jannik Sinner – Monte carlo 15-April-2023

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Sinner reached the Round Robin after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-4 and Novak Djokovic 7-5 6-7⁵ 7-6².

In the previous match, Jannik defeated Djokovic (7-5 6-7⁵ 7-6²). During the match, Sinner and Djokovic scored the same amount of points (109). However, the world no. 4 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Jannik was quite aggressive to blast 56 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner blasted 15 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (56/71) of his 1st serve and 55% (26/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Djokovic twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 6 years having won 71% of his matches (268-112). 15-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sinner has a compiled82-24 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Montpellier where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3 and in Toronto where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Beijing where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(2) 7-6(2) and in Vienna where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(7) 4-6 6-3.

Sinner has an overall 59-14 win-loss record in 2023, 15-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 8, the Dane got to the Round Robin after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas 2-1 ret..

In the previous match against Tsitsipas, the Italian had a free pass after Tsitsipas retired on a 2-1 . scoreline.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Munich where he defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).

Rune has a compiled 44-23 win-loss record in 2023, 11-7 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Rune
Match played	2	1
Tot Set	5	2
Tot Games	58	3
Pts	171-159	13-10
Total Points	330	23
Winners	88	6
%Winners	51%	46%

Sinner played 2 matches while Rune competed in 1 match. At the moment, Jannik Sinner conceded 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sinner has played 3 sets more than Rune (5 vs 2). Therefore, Sinner played 55 games more than Rune. Jannik scored 88 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Holger made 6 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Rune
Aces	24	1
Avg per match	12	1
1st in	107/169	10/15
%1st in	63%	67%
1st pts	88/107	6/10
%1st pts	82%	60%
2nd pts	35/62	4/5
%2nd pts	56%	80%

Sinner made 24 aces (12 per match). Rune recorded 1 ace . Sinner won 82% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 60% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 80% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Rune
Won	4	0
Converted	4/8	0/0
% Converted	50%	0%
Conceded	3	2
Saved	2	2
% Saved	67%	100%
Times Broken	1	0

Sinner broke his opponents 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. On the other side, Holger hasn’t manged yet to break his opponent. He didn’t manage to even clinch a single break point. Rune was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points without even conceding a single break point.

Sinner
	Round Robin Djokovic	Round Robin Tsitsipas	Total
Score	7-5 6-75 7-62	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	38	20	58
pts	109-109	62-50	171-159
Total points	218	112	330
Winners	56	32	88
%Winners	51%	52%	51%
SERVE
Aces	15	9	24
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	71/118	36/51	107/169
% 1st in	60%	71%	63%
1st pts	56/71	32/36	88/107
% 1st pts	79%	89%	82%
2nd pts	26/47	9/15	35/62
% 2nd pts	55%	60%	56%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/3	2/5	4/8
Converted %	67%	40%	50%
Conceded	3	0	3
Saved	2/3	0/0	2
Saved %	67%	–	34%
Times Broken	1	0	1

Rune
	Round Robin Tsitsipas	Round Robin Djokovic	Total
Score	2-1 ret.	7-64 6-71 6-3
Tot Set	1	3	4
Tot Games	3	35	38
pts	13-10	–	13-10
Total points	23	0	23
Winners	6		6
%Winners	46%	0%	46%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1
Double Faults	1		1
1st in	10/15	/	10/15
% 1st in	67%	0%	67%
1st pts	6/10	/	6/10
% 1st pts	60%	0%	60%
2nd pts	4/5	/	4/5
% 2nd pts	80%	0%	80%
Breaks
Won	0		0
Converted	0/0	/	0/0
Converted %	0%	0%	0%
Conceded	2		2
Saved	2/2	0/	2
Saved %	100%	–	50%
Times Broken	0		0

Tennis Scores in Nitto ATP Finals

• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Andrey RublevRublev (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-6⁷ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Rinky Hijikata/Jason Murray KublerHijikata/Jason Murray Kubler (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Taylor FritzFritz (6-3 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Holger RuneRune – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Rinky Hijikata/Jason Murray KublerHijikata/Jason Murray Kubler (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-7³ 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Holger RuneRune (7-6⁴ 6-7¹ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (2-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-2) – H2H and prediction