Shintaro Mochizuki and Sho Shimabukuro will fight against each other in the quarter of the Kobe Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTRAL COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.77
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Sho Shimabukuro
There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Sho Shimabukuro since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-5 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 137, the Japanese got to the quarter after beating Giovanni Fonio 4-6 6-2 6-3 and Yan Bai 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Bai (6-3 6-2). During the match, Mochizuki scored 62 points vs Bai’s 42. Shintaro was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mochizuki scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Bai 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Mochizuki has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 55% of his matches (147-119). 2-4 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mochizuki has an overall13-16 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Barletta Challenger where he overcame Santiago Rodriguez Taverna in the final 6-1 6-4.
Mochizuki has a composed 41-32 win-loss record in 2023, 2-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kobe Challenger
Sho Shimabukuro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 21-17 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-26 | 19-17 | 7-1 | 9-4 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-25 | 38-20 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-20 | 28-18 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 155, the Japanese reached the quarter after beating Kaichi Uchida 6-1 7-65 and Seong Chan Hong 6-4 7-64.
In the 2nd round, Shimabukuro had a good straight sets win against Chan Hong (6-4 7-64). During the match Shimabukuro scored 85 points vs Chan Hong’s 73. Shimabukuro was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Shimabukuro scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Sho Shimabukuro lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 55% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (24/35) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Chan Hong twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sho hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger where he overcame Arthur Cazaux in the final 6-2 7-5 and the Tunis Challenger where he defeated Geoffrey Blancaneaux in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Japanese has a compiled 41-25 win-loss record in 2023, 7-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kobe Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 43 |
| Pts | 143-107 | 163-137 |
| Total Points | 250 | 300 |
| Winners | 61 | 59 |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% |
Both Mochizuki and Shimabukuro played 2 matches. At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki surrendered 1 set while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set more than Shimabukuro (5 vs 4). Therefore, Mochizuki played 1 game more than Shimabukuro. Mochizuki scored 61 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese scored 59 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 81/134 | 83/150 |
| %1st in | 60% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 61/81 | 59/83 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 28/53 | 41/67 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 61% |
Mochizuki managed to score 6 aces (3 per match). Shimabukuro struck 10 aces (5 per match). Mochizuki won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 6 |
| Converted | 9/13 | 6/16 |
| % Converted | 69% | 38% |
| Conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Saved | 9 | 11 |
| % Saved | 75% | 85% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
The Japanese broke his opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sho conceded his serve twice and he saved 85% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | ||||
| R1 Fonio |
R2 Bai |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 17 | 44 | |
| pts | 81-65 | 62-42 | 143-107 | |
| Total points | 146 | 104 | 250 | |
| Winners | 32 | 29 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 47% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/74 | 37/60 | 81/134 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 62% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 29/37 | 61/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 13/23 | 28/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 57% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 3/5 | 9/13 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 60% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 4/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 100% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Shimabukuro | ||||
| R1 Uchida |
R2 Chan Hong |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-65 | 6-4 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 43 | |
| pts | 78-64 | 85-73 | 163-137 | |
| Total points | 142 | 158 | 300 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 40/72 | 43/78 | 83/150 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 29/43 | 59/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 24/35 | 41/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 69% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/8 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 6/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 86% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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