Alex Michelsen and Sebastian Fanselow will play each other in the 2nd round of the Champaign Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.144
Sebastian Fanselow -> 5.05
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Sebastian Fanselow
There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Sebastian Fanselow since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-29 | 26-13 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99 (career-high), Michelsen got to the 2nd round after defeating Bernard Tomic 6-4 6-0.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Tomic (6-4 6-0). During the match, Michelsen scored 62 points vs Tomic’s 35. Alex was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michelsen made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (21/24) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Tomic 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Michelsen has a fantastic match record in the last 2 years having won 71% of his matches (81-33). 16-3 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has a composed25-4 win-loss record in the last 2 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Chicago Challenger where he overcame Yuta Shimizu in the final 7-5 6-2 and the Knoxville Challenger where he overcame Denis Kudla in the final 7-5 4-6 6-2.
Michelsen has a compiled 58-23 win-loss record in 2023, 16-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Champaign Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Fanselow
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-31 | 7-9 | 10-16 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-31 | 24-9 | 20-15 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 5-11 | 17-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 17-13 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-15 | 34-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 328, Fanselow got to the 2nd round after beating Aidan Mchugh 6-2 4-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Sebastian defeated Mchugh (6-2 4-6 6-3). During the match Fanselow scored 89 points vs Mchugh’s 76. The German was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Fanselow blasted 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Fanselow was extremely effective on serve to win 72% (28/39) of his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The German broke Mchugh 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Sebastian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,M25 Wetzlar,M25 Sintra and M25 Tavira.
Sebastian has an overall 56-29 win-loss record in 2023, 12-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Champaign Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 |
| Pts | 62-35 | 89-76 |
| Total Points | 97 | 165 |
| Winners | 21 | 28 |
| %Winners | 34% | 31% |
Both Michelsen and Fanselow played 1 match. At the moment, Sebastian Fanselow dropped 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Michelsen has played 1 set(s) less than Fanselow (2 vs 3). Therefore, Michelsen played 11 games less than Fanselow. The American scored 21 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian struck 28 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 24/42 | 39/76 |
| %1st in | 57% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 28/39 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 21/37 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 57% |
Michelsen managed to score 5 aces . Fanselow managed to score 7 aces . Michelsen won 88% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Fanselow won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Alex broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Alex had a solid display on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Sebastian broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | |||
| R1 Tomic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 62-35 | 62-35 | |
| Total points | 97 | 97 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 24/42 | 24/42 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 21/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Fanselow | |||
| R1 Mchugh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 89-76 | 89-76 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/76 | 39/76 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 28/39 | 28/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/37 | 21/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWLWLW
LLWLWLLLLL Tennis Scores in Champaign Challenger
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Karlis OzolinsOzolins (7-65 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ethan QuinnQuinn – Strong KirchheimerKirchheimer (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Patrick KypsonKypson – Kenta MiyoshiMiyoshi (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nino SerdarusicSerdarusic – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian FanselowFanselow – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Alex RybakovRybakov (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Patrick KypsonKypson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon HoltHolt – Titouan DroguetDroguet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
