Luca Nardi and August Holmgren will face off in the 2nd round of the Kobe Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT C. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.333
August Holmgren -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. August Holmgren
There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-17 | 9-7 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 128, the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Taisei Ichikawa 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Ichikawa (7-5 6-2). During the match, Nardi scored 65 points vs Ichikawa’s 52. Nardi was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nardi bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Luca Nardi was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Luca broke Ichikawa 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Nardi has a winning match record in the last 6 years having won 57% of his matches (116-89). 9-9 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Nardi has a compiled31-30 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Porto Challenger where he overcame Joao Sousa in the final 5-7 6-4 6-1 and the Matsuyama Challenger where he beat Taro Daniel in the final 3-6 6-4 6-2.
Nardi has an overall 36-32 win-loss record in 2023, 9-9 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kobe Challenger
Nardi has never competed in this tournament before.
August Holmgren
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-15 | 9-8 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 33-14 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-12 | 18-4 | 10-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-8 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 335 (career-high), the Dane reached the 2nd round after defeating Omni Kumar 6-2 6-3, Yusuke Takahashi 6-4 6-4 and Moez Echargui 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, August had a good straight sets win against Echargui (6-4 6-3). During the match Holmgren scored 77 points vs Echargui’s 69. Holmgren was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Holmgren fired 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. August Holmgren conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 55% of his first serves in, win 70% (21/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. The Dane broke Echargui 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).
The Dane’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Nottingham and M25 Harlingen.
August has a compiled 40-23 win-loss record in 2023, 4-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 56 |
| Pts | 65-52 | 208-170 |
| Total Points | 117 | 378 |
| Winners | 28 | 65 |
| %Winners | 43% | 31% |
Nardi played 1 match while Holmgren competed in 3 matches. Holmgren started his run from the qualifications while Nardi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Nardi has played 4 set(s) less than Holmgren (2 vs 6). Therefore, Nardi played 36 games less than Holmgren. The Italian scored 28 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, August scored 65 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 87/162 |
| %1st in | 65% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 65/87 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 44/75 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 59% |
Nardi recorded 5 aces . Holmgren fired 15 aces (5 per match). Nardi won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 11 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 11/28 |
| % Converted | 57% | 39% |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Nardi broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Nardi surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Holmgren broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. August conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nardi | |||
| R1 Ichikawa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 65-52 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 37/57 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Holmgren | |||||
| Q1 Kumar |
Q3 Takahashi |
R1 Echargui |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 19 | 56 | |
| pts | 67-48 | 64-53 | 77-69 | 208-170 | |
| Total points | 115 | 117 | 146 | 378 | |
| Winners | 20 | 24 | 21 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 38% | 27% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 24/46 | 33/61 | 30/55 | 87/162 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 54% | 55% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 24/33 | 21/30 | 65/87 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 73% | 70% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 19/28 | 16/25 | 44/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 68% | 64% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 2/2 | 3/15 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 100% | 20% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | – | 133% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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