Shintaro Mochizuki and Yan Bai will face off in the 2nd round of the Kobe Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.35
Yan Bai -> 3.02
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Yan Bai
This will be the 2nd time that Shintaro Mochizuki and Yan Bai square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bai (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bai won 6-2 6-2 in the 2nd round in M25 Tay Ninh back in 2019.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 137, Mochizuki got to the 2nd round after defeating Giovanni Fonio 4-6 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round against Fonio, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Mochizuki scored 81 points vs Fonio’s 65. Shintaro was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mochizuki made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 59% of his first serves in, winning 73% (32/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Shintaro broke Fonio 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Mochizuki has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 55% of his matches (146-119). 1-4 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has a compiled12-16 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Barletta Challenger where he defeated Santiago Rodriguez Taverna in the final 6-1 6-4.
Mochizuki has an aggregate 40-32 win-loss record in 2023, 1-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kobe Challenger
Yan Bai
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-21 | 47-19 | 4-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-16 | 42-13 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 393, the Chinese got to the 2nd round after beating Arthur Weber 6-2 6-4 and Kalin Ivanovski 6-1 4-0 ret..
In the 1st round against Ivanovski, Bai had a free pass after Ivanovski retired on a 6-1 4-0 . scoreline.
Bai’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M15 Tianjin and M25 Guiyang.
Bai has a compiled 45-14 win-loss record in 2023, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kobe Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 29 |
| Pts | 81-65 | 104-61 |
| Total Points | 146 | 165 |
| Winners | 32 | 38 |
| %Winners | 40% | 37% |
Mochizuki played 1 match while Bai competed in 2 matches. Bai started his run from the qualifications while Mochizuki had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki lost 1 set while Yan Bai hasn’t lost a set so far. Mochizuki has played 2 set(s) less than Bai (3 vs 5). Therefore, Mochizuki played 2 games less than Bai. Mochizuki scored 32 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Yan bagged 38 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 44/74 | 47/75 |
| %1st in | 59% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 38/47 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 16/28 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 57% |
Mochizuki struck 5 aces . Bai blasted 2 aces (1 per match). Mochizuki won 73% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Bai won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 10 |
| Converted | 6/8 | 10/14 |
| % Converted | 75% | 71% |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 63% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Shintaro dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 10 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mochizuki | |||
| R1 Fonio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 81-65 | 81-65 | |
| Total points | 146 | 146 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/74 | 44/74 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 32/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 15/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Bai | |||||
| Q1 Weber |
Q3 Fenty |
R1 Ivanovski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 4-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 29 | 11 | 58 | |
| pts | 61-39 | – | 43-22 | 104-61 | |
| Total points | 100 | 0 | 65 | 165 | |
| Winners | 23 | 15 | 38 | ||
| %Winners | 38% | 0% | 35% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||
| 1st in | 30/45 | / | 17/30 | 47/75 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 0% | 57% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | / | 15/17 | 38/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 0% | 88% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | / | 6/13 | 16/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 0% | 46% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | ||
| Converted | 5/6 | / | 5/8 | 10/14 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 0% | 63% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | ||
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/ | 1/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 100% | 133% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||
Head 2 Head
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