Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner will face off in the Round Robin of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 9:00 pm on Centrale. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.46
Jannik Sinner -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Jannik Sinner
This will be the 4th time that Novak Djokovic and Jannik Sinner clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Djokovic won 6-3 6-4 7-6(4) in the semifinal in at the Wimbledon back in July 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner – Wimbledon 14-July-2023
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Serbian got to the Round Robin after beating Holger Rune 7-64 6-71 6-3.
In the previous match, Djokovic defeated Rune (7-64 6-71 6-3). During the match, Djokovic scored 111 points vs Rune’s 106. Novak was extremely aggressive to blast 55 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic scored 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 69% of his first serves in, winning 74% (55/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. Djokovic broke Rune 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Djokovic has a terrific match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (540-79). 7-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has an aggregate 87-14 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Adelaide where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) and at the French Open where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(1) 6-3 7-5 and in Cincinnati where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4) and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3 and in Paris where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3.
The Serbian has a compiled 52-5 win-loss record in 2023, 7-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 73-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Sinner got to the Round Robin after beating Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 6-4.
In the previous match, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-4 6-4). During the match Sinner scored 62 points vs Tsitsipas’s 50. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Sinner recorded 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jannik Sinner was very effective on serve to win 89% (32/36) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Tsitsipas twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
His best result of the year was winning the title in Montpellier where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3 and in Toronto where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Beijing where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(2) 7-6(2) and in Vienna where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(7) 4-6 6-3.
The Italian has a composed 58-14 win-loss record in 2023, 14-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, his best result was reaching the Round Robin in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 20 |
| Pts | 111-106 | 62-50 |
| Total Points | 217 | 112 |
| Winners | 55 | 32 |
| %Winners | 50% | 52% |
Both Djokovic and Sinner played 1 match. At the moment, Novak Djokovic lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Djokovic has played 1 set more than Sinner (3 vs 2). Therefore, Djokovic played 15 games more than Sinner. The Serbian scored 55 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Sinner made 32 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 9 |
| 1st in | 74/108 | 36/51 |
| %1st in | 69% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 55/74 | 32/36 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 14/34 | 9/15 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 60% |
Djokovic blasted 10 aces . Sinner blasted 9 aces . Djokovic won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 89% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Djokovic broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Djokovic lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Sinner broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Djokovic | |||
| Round Robin Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-71 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 35 | |
| pts | 111-106 | 111-106 | |
| Total points | 217 | 217 | |
| Winners | 55 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 74/108 | 74/108 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 55/74 | 55/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/34 | 14/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Sinner | |||
| Round Robin Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 62-50 | 62-50 | |
| Total points | 112 | 112 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 36/51 | 36/51 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 32/36 | 32/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 9/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWW
Tennis Scores in Nitto ATP Finals
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-73 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski – Rinky Hijikata/Jason Murray KublerHijikata/Jason Murray Kubler (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (2-6 6-3 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Holger RuneRune (7-64 6-71 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Jannik SinnerSinner (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexander ZverevZverev (10-7) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (2-2) – H2H and prediction
