Gastao Elias and Max Houkes will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Montevideo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gastao Elias who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gastao Elias is the pick to win this match.
Gastao Elias -> 1.67
Max Houkes -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Gastao Elias vs. Max Houkes
There is no head to head record between Gastao Elias and Max Houkes since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Gastao Elias
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-19 | 25-9 | 6-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-32 | 8-5 | 27-25 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-18 | 10-8 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 4-3 | 18-17 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-18 | 13-5 | 24-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 331, Elias got to the qualifications after defeating Blaise Bicknell 4-6 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications against Bicknell, Gastao recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Elias scored 108 points vs Bicknell’s 97. The Portuguese was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Elias recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gastao Elias lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 61% of his first serves in, winning 62% (38/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (20/39) on the 2nd serve. Gastao broke Bicknell 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Elias has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (304-244). 11-9 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Elias has an aggregate 226-157 record in the last years on clay.
Gastao’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Girona Challenger.
Elias has a compiled 21-17 win-loss record in 2023, 11-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montevideo Challenger
Max Houkes
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-33 | 9-4 | 44-27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-17 | 0-0 | 44-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-33 | 1-1 | 39-30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 70-20 | 0-0 | 70-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-16 | 2-2 | 30-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 358, Max reached the qualifications after beating Federico Aguilar Cardozo 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Max had a good straight sets win against Aguilar Cardozo (6-2 6-1). During the match Houkes scored 55 points vs Aguilar Cardozo’s 36. Max was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Houkes scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Max Houkes was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Houkes broke Aguilar Cardozo 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Max’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Palmanova and M25 The Hague.
The Dutch has an overall 38-31 win-loss record in 2023, 37-28 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Montevideo Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Elias | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 15 |
| Pts | 108-97 | 55-36 |
| Total Points | 205 | 91 |
| Winners | 38 | 21 |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% |
Both Elias and Houkes played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Gastao Elias conceded 1 set while Max Houkes hasn’t lost a set so far. Elias has played 1 set more than Houkes (3 vs 2). Therefore, Elias played 13 games more than Houkes. Gastao scored 38 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Houkes recorded 21 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Elias | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 61/100 | 28/48 |
| %1st in | 61% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 38/61 | 21/28 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 11/20 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 55% |
Elias bagged 2 aces . Houkes bagged 1 ace . Elias won 62% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Houkes won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Elias | Houkes |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/15 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 40% | 83% |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 43% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 |
The Portuguese broke his opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Elias conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Houkes was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Elias | |||
| Q1 Bicknell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 108-97 | 108-97 | |
| Total points | 205 | 205 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 61/100 | 61/100 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 38/61 | 38/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/39 | 20/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Houkes | |||
| Q1 Aguilar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 55-36 | 55-36 | |
| Total points | 91 | 91 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 28/48 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLWLW
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