Sumit Nagal and Corentin Moutet will play each other in the final of the Helsinki Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Corentin Moutet who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Corentin Moutet is the pick to win this match.
Corentin Moutet -> 1.55
Sumit Nagal -> 2.375

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Prediction and head to head Sumit Nagal vs. Corentin Moutet

This will be the 3^rd time that Sumit Nagal and Corentin Moutet face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Nagal and Moutet (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Nagal won 6-4 7-5 in the quarter in the Savannah Challenger back in 2019.

Sumit Nagal

Ranked no. 169, the Indian got to the final after defeating Dennis Novak 6-2 6-3, Jakub Mensik 7-5 6-2, Emil Ruusuvuori 6-3 3-1 ret. and Stefano Travaglia 6-1 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Indian had a good straight sets win against Travaglia (6-1 6-4). During the match, Nagal scored 61 points vs Travaglia’s 40. Nagal was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Nagal couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Sumit Nagal was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nagal broke Travaglia 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Indian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Nagal has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (297-190). 5-3 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nagal has an overall 8-11 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Rome Challenger where he beat Jesper De Jong in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tampere Challenger where he defeated Dalibor Svrcina in the final 6-4 7-5.

Nagal has a composed 45-26 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Helsinki Challenger

Nagal has never competed in this tournament before.

Corentin Moutet

Ranked no. 173, the French player got to the final after defeating Maxime Cressy 6-4 6-2, Antoine Bellier 6-4 6-4, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-2 7-6² and Arthur Rinderknech 5-7 7-5 6-3.

In the semifinal against Rinderknech, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-3).During the match Moutet scored less points (1) than Rinderknech. In fact, the world no. 169 won 96 points vs Rinderknech’s. That means that Moutet was more focused during the important points. Moutet was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Moutet made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 66% of his first serves in, winning 64% (43/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the 2nd serve. Corentin broke Rinderknech 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Moutet’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Helsinki Challenger.

Corentin has an overall 17-23 win-loss record in 2023, 5-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Nagal	Moutet
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	9
Tot Games	67	92
Pts	252-186	299-256
Total Points	438	555
Winners	103	133
%Winners	41%	44%

Both Nagal and Moutet played 4 matches. At the moment, Corentin Moutet dropped 1 set while Sumit Nagal hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Nagal and Moutet have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Nagal played 25 games less than Moutet. Sumit scored 103 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Corentin managed to score 133 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Nagal	Moutet
Aces	2	4
Avg per match	0.5	1
1st in	147/217	190/282
%1st in	68%	67%
1st pts	103/147	133/190
%1st pts	70%	70%
2nd pts	42/70	58/92
%2nd pts	60%	63%

Nagal scored 2 aces (0.5 per match). Moutet managed to score 4 aces (1 per match). Nagal won 70% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Nagal	Moutet
Won	16	13
Converted	16/30	13/26
% Converted	53%	50%
Conceded	11	15
Saved	8	10
% Saved	73%	67%
Times Broken	3	5

The Indian broke his opponents 16 times with a 53% conversion rate. Sumit dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Moutet broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. Corentin conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Nagal
	R1 Novak	R2 Mensik	1/4 Ruusuvuori	1/2 Travaglia	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	7-5 6-2	6-3 3-1 ret.	6-1 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	17	20	13	17	67
pts	63-46	79-67	49-33	61-40	252-186
Total points	109	146	82	101	438
Winners	23	31	20	29	103
%Winners	37%	39%	41%	48%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	0	0	2
Double Faults	1	5	0	2	8
1st in	30/51	52/78	28/37	37/51	147/217
% 1st in	59%	67%	76%	73%	68%
1st pts	23/30	31/52	20/28	29/37	103/147
% 1st pts	77%	60%	71%	78%	70%
2nd pts	10/21	14/26	8/9	10/14	42/70
% 2nd pts	48%	54%	89%	71%	60%
Breaks
Won	5	5	3	3	16
Converted	5/10	5/8	3/6	3/6	16/30
Converted %	50%	63%	50%	50%	53%
Conceded	2	9	0	0	11
Saved	1/2	7/9	0/0	0/0	8
Saved %	50%	78%	–	–	32%
Times Broken	1	2	0	0	3

Moutet
	R1 Cressy	R2 Bellier	1/4 Munar Clar	1/2 Rinderknech	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-4	6-2 7-62	5-7 7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	18	20	21	33	92
pts	63-47	70-52	70-60	96-97	299-256
Total points	110	122	130	193	555
Winners	28	28	34	43	133
%Winners	44%	40%	49%	45%	44%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1	2	4
Double Faults	1	1	1	3	6
1st in	37/57	33/49	53/74	67/102	190/282
% 1st in	65%	67%	72%	66%	67%
1st pts	28/37	28/33	34/53	43/67	133/190
% 1st pts	76%	85%	64%	64%	70%
2nd pts	14/20	12/16	14/21	18/35	58/92
% 2nd pts	70%	75%	67%	51%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	2	3	5	13
Converted	3/6	2/9	3/4	5/7	13/26
Converted %	50%	22%	75%	71%	50%
Conceded	5	0	5	5	15
Saved	5/5	0/0	4/5	1/5	10
Saved %	100%	–	80%	20%	50%
Times Broken	0	0	1	4	5

Tennis Scores in Helsinki Challenger

• N.Sriram Balaji/Andre BegemannBalaji/Andre Begemann – Jeevan Nedunchezhiyan/N. Vijay Sundar PrashanthNedunchezhiyan/N. Vijay Sundar Prashanth (6-2 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Sumit NagalNagal (1-1) – H2H and prediction