Alex Michelsen and Denis Kudla will play each other in the final of the Knoxville Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Kudla who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Kudla is the pick to win this match.
Denis Kudla -> 1.81
Alex Michelsen -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Denis Kudla
There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Denis Kudla since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-22 | 11-7 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 114, Alex reached the final after beating Bernard Tomic 4-6 7-65 6-4, Gabriel Debru 6-3 3-6 6-4, Nishesh Basavareddy 6-3 6-3 and Tennys Sandgren 6-2 2-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, The American defeated Sandgren (6-2 2-6 6-4). During the match, Michelsen scored 88 points vs Sandgren’s 75. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Michelsen managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Alex Michelsen was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Michelsen broke Sandgren 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Michelsen has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Michelsen has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 2 years having won 71% of his matches (79-33). 14-3 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michelsen has an aggregate23-4 win-loss record in the last 2 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Chicago Challenger where he defeated Yuta Shimizu in the final 7-5 6-2.
Alex has a compiled 56-23 win-loss record in 2023, 14-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Knoxville Challenger
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
Denis Kudla
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-15 | 5-3 | 6-6 | 5-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 13-17 | 1-3 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-33 | 21-19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-27 | 20-14 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-9 | 13-6 | 0-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 183, the American reached the final after beating Patrick Kypson 6-75 6-3 6-4, Martin Damm 7-64 6-3, Aidan Mchugh 6-3 7-65 and Emilio Nava 5-7 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal against Nava, Denis recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-1). During the match Kudla scored 113 points vs Nava’s 92. Denis was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Kudla scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Denis Kudla was quite effective on serve to win 81% (38/47) of his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Kudla broke Nava 5 times after converting 24% of his break points (5/21).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kudla has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Columbus Challenger where he overcame Alexis Galarneau in the final 6-2 6-1.
Kudla has a composed 30-26 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Kudla |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 105 | 105 |
| Pts | 329-275 | 376-324 |
| Total Points | 604 | 700 |
| Winners | 154 | 159 |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% |
Both Michelsen and Kudla played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen conceded 3 sets, while Denis Kudla surrendered 2 sets. Michelsen has played 1 set more than Kudla (11 vs 10). However, it is interesting to notice that they played the same amount of games (105). Alex scored 154 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Denis bagged 159 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Kudla |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 35 | 34 |
| Avg per match | 8.8 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 198/293 | 213/336 |
| %1st in | 68% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 154/198 | 159/213 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 56/95 | 73/123 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 59% |
Michelsen made 35 aces (8.8 per match). Kudla blasted 34 aces (8.5 per match). Michelsen won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kudla won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Kudla |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 13 |
| Converted | 12/26 | 13/43 |
| % Converted | 46% | 30% |
| Conceded | 13 | 26 |
| Saved | 6 | 20 |
| % Saved | 46% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
Michelsen broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Alex dropped his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded. Denis broke his opponents 13 times with a 30% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | ||||||
| R1 Tomic |
R2 Debru |
1/4 Basavareddy |
1/2 Sandgren |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 105 | |
| pts | 101-96 | 85-77 | 55-27 | 88-75 | 329-275 | |
| Total points | 197 | 162 | 82 | 163 | 604 | |
| Winners | 47 | 42 | 26 | 39 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 49% | 47% | 44% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 65/101 | 56/77 | 26/38 | 51/77 | 198/293 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 73% | 68% | 66% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 47/65 | 42/56 | 26/26 | 39/51 | 154/198 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 75% | 100% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/36 | 14/21 | 10/12 | 14/26 | 56/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 83% | 54% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/6 | 3/3 | 3/11 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 33% | 100% | 27% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 4/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 50% | – | 67% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| Kudla | ||||||
| R1 Kypson |
R2 Damm |
1/4 Mchugh |
1/2 Nava |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-3 6-4 | 7-64 6-3 | 6-3 7-65 | 5-7 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 22 | 22 | 29 | 105 | |
| pts | 110-96 | 71-65 | 82-71 | 113-92 | 376-324 | |
| Total points | 206 | 136 | 153 | 205 | 700 | |
| Winners | 42 | 38 | 41 | 38 | 159 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 54% | 50% | 34% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 13 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 68/104 | 50/75 | 48/74 | 47/83 | 213/336 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 67% | 65% | 57% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 42/68 | 38/50 | 41/48 | 38/47 | 159/213 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 76% | 85% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/36 | 15/25 | 13/26 | 20/36 | 73/123 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 60% | 50% | 56% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 2/6 | 1/4 | 5/21 | 13/43 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 33% | 25% | 24% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 4/5 | 6/6 | 7/9 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 80% | 100% | 78% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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