Adrian Mannarino and Jack Draper will clash against each other in the final of the Sofia Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.666
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Jack Draper
There is no head to head record between Adrian Mannarino and Jack Draper since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Adrian Mannarino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-17 | 5-8 | 0-5 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-17 | 8-7 | 0-3 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, the French player reached the final after defeating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4 6-4, Sebastian Ofner 6-77 6-4 6-3 and Pavel Kotov 6-2 7-62.
In the semifinal, Adrian had a good straight sets win against Kotov (6-2 7-62). During the match, Mannarino scored 65 points vs Kotov’s 48. Adrian was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mannarino bagged 7 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Adrian Mannarino was very efficient on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Adrian broke Kotov twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Adrian has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Mannarino has good match record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (337-284). 14-4 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Mannarino has a compiled 86-65 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Newport where he defeated Alex Michelsen in the final 6-2 6-4 and in Astana where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2.
The French player has a composed 43-29 win-loss record in 2023, 14-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sofia
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-13 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 82, Jack reached the final after defeating Maximilian Marterer 6-3 6-2, Lorenzo Musetti 7-5 6-2, Cem Ilkel 6-2 6-2 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Struff (6-3 6-4). During the match Draper scored 65 points vs Struff’s 55. Jack was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Draper fired 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 55% of his first serves in, winning 78% (29/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Draper broke Struff 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draper hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Bergamo Challenger where he beat David Goffin in the final 1-6 7-6(3) 6-3.
Draper has a composed 34-13 win-loss record in 2023, 16-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 72 |
| Pts | 251-203 | 262-180 |
| Total Points | 454 | 442 |
| Winners | 105 | 108 |
| %Winners | 42% | 41% |
Mannarino played 3 matches while Draper competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino lost 1 set while Jack Draper hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mannarino has played 1 set(s) less than Draper (7 vs 8). However, it’s interesting to notice that Mannarino played 1 game more than Draper. The French player scored 105 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Jack recorded 108 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 147/210 | 127/208 |
| %1st in | 70% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 105/147 | 108/127 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 40/63 | 44/81 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 54% |
Mannarino made 24 aces (8 per match). Draper scored 30 aces (7.5 per match). Mannarino won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 15 |
| Converted | 11/29 | 15/28 |
| % Converted | 38% | 54% |
| Conceded | 10 | 14 |
| Saved | 5 | 12 |
| % Saved | 50% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Mannarino broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Mannarino dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Jack broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | |||||
| R2 Ramos-Vinolas |
1/4 Ofner |
1/2 Kotov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-77 6-4 6-3 | 6-2 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 | 21 | 73 | |
| pts | 72-55 | 114-100 | 65-48 | 251-203 | |
| Total points | 127 | 214 | 113 | 454 | |
| Winners | 28 | 46 | 31 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 7 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 71/106 | 41/56 | 147/210 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 67% | 73% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 46/71 | 31/41 | 105/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 65% | 76% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 21/35 | 12/15 | 40/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 60% | 80% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/16 | 2/3 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 31% | 67% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/7 | 1/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 57% | 100% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Draper | ||||||
| R1 Marterer |
R2 Musetti |
1/4 Ilkel |
1/2 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 72 | |
| pts | 58-37 | 78-53 | 61-35 | 65-55 | 262-180 | |
| Total points | 95 | 131 | 96 | 120 | 442 | |
| Winners | 25 | 31 | 23 | 29 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% | 38% | 45% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 29/40 | 35/60 | 26/41 | 37/67 | 127/208 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 58% | 63% | 55% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 31/35 | 23/26 | 29/37 | 108/127 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 89% | 88% | 78% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 12/25 | 10/15 | 15/30 | 44/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 48% | 67% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/8 | 4/9 | 3/4 | 15/28 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 50% | 44% | 75% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 7/8 | 12 | |
| Saved % | – | 83% | – | 88% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWWWWWWWLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jack DraperDraper – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
