Ugo Humbert and Fabio Fognini will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Moselle Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.31
Fabio Fognini -> 3.46
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Fabio Fognini
This will be the 2nd time that Ugo Humbert and Fabio Fognini play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Humbert (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Humbert won 7-5 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in Rome back in 2020.
Highlights Ugo Humbert vs Fabio Fognini – Rome 17-September-2020
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-9 | 6-5 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23 (career-high), the French player reached the semifinal after defeating Dominic Thiem 7-65 4-6 6-3 and Harold Mayot 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Mayot (6-3 7-5). During the match, Humbert scored 70 points vs Mayot’s 54. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Humbert bagged 5 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Ugo Humbert was very efficient on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Mayot twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (300-193). 14-6 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Humbert has a composed89-59 match record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Cagliari Challenger where he defeated Laslo Djere in the final 4-6 7-5 6-4 and the Bordeaux Challenger where he defeated Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 7-6(3) 6-4.
Ugo has an aggregate 47-26 win-loss record in 2023, 14-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Metz
Fabio Fognini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-28 | 7-10 | 23-12 | 2-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-23 | 0-8 | 23-12 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-26 | 10-9 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-24 | 12-12 | 7-8 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 147, Fognini reached the semifinal after beating Thiago Seyboth Wild 7-63 7-69, Alexander Bublik 4-6 7-67 7-65 and Lorenzo Sonego 6-1 6-2.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Sonego (6-1 6-2). During the match Fognini scored 61 points vs Sonego’s 36. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Fognini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Fabio Fognini was very efficient on serve to win 81% (17/21) of his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fabio broke Sonego 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Fabio has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Fognini’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Genova Challenger.
Fabio has an aggregate 22-22 win-loss record in 2023, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Metz
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2008. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 77 |
| Pts | 172-145 | 274-255 |
| Total Points | 317 | 529 |
| Winners | 81 | 101 |
| %Winners | 47% | 37% |
Humbert played 2 matches while Fognini competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ugo Humbert lost 1 set, while Fabio Fognini conceded 1 set. Humbert has played 2 set(s) less than Fognini (5 vs 7). Therefore, Humbert played 24 games less than Fognini. The French player scored 81 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Fabio made 101 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 98/146 | 132/264 |
| %1st in | 67% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 81/98 | 101/132 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 29/48 | 67/132 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 51% |
Humbert recorded 16 aces (8 per match). Fognini made 8 aces (2.7 per match). Humbert won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Fognini won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 9 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded | 7 | 19 |
| Saved | 5 | 13 |
| % Saved | 71% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
The French player broke his opponents 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Humbert lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Fognini broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Fabio conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | ||||
| R2 Thiem |
1/4 Mayot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 21 | 53 | |
| pts | 102-91 | 70-54 | 172-145 | |
| Total points | 193 | 124 | 317 | |
| Winners | 48 | 33 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 5 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 57/90 | 41/56 | 98/146 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 73% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 48/57 | 33/41 | 81/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 80% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/33 | 12/15 | 29/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 80% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/7 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 29% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fognini | |||||
| R1 Seyboth |
R2 Bublik |
1/4 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 7-69 | 4-6 7-67 7-65 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 36 | 15 | 77 | |
| pts | 94-90 | 119-129 | 61-36 | 274-255 | |
| Total points | 184 | 248 | 97 | 529 | |
| Winners | 39 | 45 | 17 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% | 28% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 13 | 6 | 2 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 47/99 | 64/119 | 21/46 | 132/264 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 54% | 46% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 39/47 | 45/64 | 17/21 | 101/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 70% | 81% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/52 | 26/55 | 17/25 | 67/132 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 47% | 68% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/11 | 4/6 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 27% | 67% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 | 2 | 19 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 5/9 | 2/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 56% | 100% | 116% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLLWLW
LWLLLWWLLL Tennis Scores in Metz
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Harold MayotMayot (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (4-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Hugo Nys/Jan ZielinskiNys/Jan Zielinski – Fabio Fognini/Pierre-Hugues HerbertFognini/Pierre-Hugues Herbert (w/o) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
