Denis Kudla and Aidan Mchugh will fight against each other in the quarter of the Knoxville Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Kudla who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Kudla is the pick to win this match.
Denis Kudla -> 1.47
Aidan Mchugh -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Denis Kudla vs. Aidan Mchugh
This will be the 2nd time that Denis Kudla and Aidan Mchugh square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kudla (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Kudla won 6-2 7-5 in the qualifications in the Charlottesville Challenger back in 2021.
Denis Kudla
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-15 | 5-3 | 6-6 | 5-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-28 | 13-17 | 1-3 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-33 | 21-19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-27 | 20-14 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-9 | 13-6 | 0-1 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 183, Kudla reached the quarter after defeating Patrick Kypson 6-75 6-3 6-4 and Martin Damm 7-64 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Damm (7-64 6-3). During the match, Kudla scored 71 points vs Damm’s 65. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kudla bagged 6 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Denis Kudla was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (38/50) of his 1st serve and 60% (15/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Denis broke Damm twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kudla has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Kudla has good match record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (342-268). 9-2 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kudla has a compiled 71-41 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Columbus Challenger where he defeated Alexis Galarneau in the final 6-2 6-1.
The American has an aggregate 28-26 win-loss record in 2023, 9-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Knoxville Challenger
Aidan Mchugh
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-17 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 52-30 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-26 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 23-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-28 | 34-15 | 7-5 | 10-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 4-8 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 365, Aidan got to the quarter after beating Alexander Cozbinov 3-6 7-5 6-3 and Thai Kwiatkowski 0-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Kwiatkowski, Mchugh recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-4 6-3).During the match Mchugh scored less points (3) than Kwiatkowski. In fact, the world no. 183 won 82 points vs Kwiatkowski’s. That means that Mchugh was more focused during the important points. Mchugh was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Mchugh recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Aidan Mchugh lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Mchugh put 65% of his first serves in, winning 65% (39/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (16/32) on the 2nd serve. Mchugh broke Kwiatkowski twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mchugh has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
Aidan’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Champaign,M25 Edwardsville and M25 Madrid.
The Brit has a compiled 52-28 win-loss record in 2023, 13-8 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Knoxville Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kudla | Mchugh |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 55 |
| Pts | 181-161 | 182-184 |
| Total Points | 342 | 366 |
| Winners | 80 | 83 |
| %Winners | 44% | 46% |
Both Kudla and Mchugh played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Denis Kudla dropped 1 set, while Aidan Mchugh dropped 2 sets. Kudla has played 1 set(s) less than Mchugh (5 vs 6). Therefore, Kudla played 1 game less than Mchugh. Denis scored 80 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Mchugh recorded 83 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kudla | Mchugh |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 118/179 | 129/204 |
| %1st in | 66% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 80/118 | 83/129 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 40/61 | 34/75 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 45% |
Kudla struck 19 aces (9.5 per match). Mchugh struck 13 aces (6.5 per match). Kudla won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Mchugh won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kudla | Mchugh |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 7 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 7/18 |
| % Converted | 39% | 39% |
| Conceded | 11 | 26 |
| Saved | 7 | 19 |
| % Saved | 64% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Mchugh conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kudla | ||||
| R1 Kypson |
R2 Damm |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-3 6-4 | 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 22 | 54 | |
| pts | 110-96 | 71-65 | 181-161 | |
| Total points | 206 | 136 | 342 | |
| Winners | 42 | 38 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 54% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 6 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 68/104 | 50/75 | 118/179 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 42/68 | 38/50 | 80/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 76% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/36 | 15/25 | 40/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 60% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 2/6 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 80% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Mchugh | ||||
| R1 Cozbinov |
R2 Kwiatkowski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | 0-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 25 | 55 | |
| pts | 100-99 | 82-85 | 182-184 | |
| Total points | 199 | 167 | 366 | |
| Winners | 44 | 39 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 69/112 | 60/92 | 129/204 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 44/69 | 39/60 | 83/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 65% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/43 | 16/32 | 34/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 2/8 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 10 | 26 | |
| Saved | 12/16 | 7/10 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 70% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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