Alexander Shevchenko and Mate Valkusz will face off in the 2^nd round of the Moselle Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Shevchenko who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Shevchenko is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Shevchenko -> 1.31
Mate Valkusz -> 3.45

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Shevchenko vs. Mate Valkusz

This will be the 3^rd time that Alexander Shevchenko and Mate Valkusz play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Shevchenko and Valkusz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Shevchenko won 7-6(5) 4-6 6-4 in the 1^st round in M15 Antalya back in 2021.

Alexander Shevchenko

Ranked no. 63 (career-high), Shevchenko got to the 2^nd round after beating Mathias Bourgue 6-4 7-5.

In the 1^st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Bourgue (6-4 7-5). During the match, Shevchenko scored 74 points vs Bourgue’s 62. Alexander was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shevchenko fired 2 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Alexander Shevchenko was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (30/41) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Bourgue 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Shevchenko has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 63% of his matches (227-135). 7-4 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shevchenko has an overall23-17 match record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Sebastian Ofner in the final 7-5 6-2 and the Madrid Challenger where he defeated Pedro Cachin in the final 6-4 6-3.

Alexander has an aggregate 42-33 win-loss record in 2023, 7-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Metz

Shevchenko has never competed in this tournament before.

Mate Valkusz

Ranked no. 232, Mate got to the 2^nd round after defeating Hugo Grenier 7-6⁴ 6-2 and Daniel Altmaier 6-2 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Valkusz had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-2 6-2). During the match Valkusz scored 61 points vs Altmaier’s 41. Valkusz was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Valkusz scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Mate Valkusz was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (23/31) of his 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mate broke Altmaier 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Skopje Challenger where he beat Francisco Comesana in the final 6-3 6-4.

Valkusz has an aggregate 33-23 win-loss record in 2023, 5-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shevchenko	Valkusz
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	22	37
Pts	74-62	126-91
Total Points	136	217
Winners	30	49
%Winners	41%	39%

Shevchenko played 1 match while Valkusz competed in 2 matches. Valkusz started his run from the qualifications while Shevchenko had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Shevchenko has played 2 set(s) less than Valkusz (2 vs 4). Therefore, Shevchenko played 15 games less than Valkusz. Shevchenko scored 30 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Mate scored 49 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shevchenko	Valkusz
Aces	2	5
Avg per match	2	2.5
1st in	41/57	64/100
%1st in	72%	64%
1st pts	30/41	49/64
%1st pts	73%	77%
2nd pts	12/16	24/36
%2nd pts	75%	67%

Shevchenko bagged 2 aces . Valkusz bagged 5 aces (2.5 per match). Shevchenko won 73% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Valkusz won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shevchenko	Valkusz
Won	3	8
Converted	3/10	8/18
% Converted	30%	44%
Conceded	2	5
Saved	1	3
% Saved	50%	60%
Times Broken	1	2

Alexander broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Alexander lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Hungarian broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Hungarian conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Shevchenko
	R1 Bourgue	Total
Score	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	74-62	74-62
Total points	136	136
Winners	30	30
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	41/57	41/57
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	30/41	30/41
% 1st pts	73%	73%
2nd pts	12/16	12/16
% 2nd pts	75%	75%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/10	3/10
Converted %	30%	30%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	1/2	1
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	1	1

Valkusz
	Q1 Grenier	Q3 Hemery	R1 Altmaier	Total
Score	7-64 6-2	6-3 6-4	6-2 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	21	19	16	56
pts	65-50	–	61-41	126-91
Total points	115	0	102	217
Winners	26		23	49
%Winners	40%	0%	38%	39%
SERVE
Aces	4	0	1	5
Double Faults	1		0	1
1st in	33/58	/	31/42	64/100
% 1st in	57%	0%	74%	64%
1st pts	26/33	/	23/31	49/64
% 1st pts	79%	0%	74%	77%
2nd pts	18/25	/	6/11	24/36
% 2nd pts	72%	0%	55%	67%
Breaks
Won	3		5	8
Converted	3/7	/	5/11	8/18
Converted %	43%	0%	45%	44%
Conceded	3		2	5
Saved	2/3	0/	1/2	3
Saved %	67%	–	50%	117%
Times Broken	1		1	2

Tennis Scores in Metz

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Constant LestienneLestienne (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Harold MayotMayot – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (7-6² 2-6 7-6⁵) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Dominic ThiemThiem (7-6⁵ 4-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stan WawrinkaWawrinka – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Fabio FogniniFognini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Mate ValkuszValkusz – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (1-1) – H2H and prediction