Sebastian Fanselow and Alex Rybakov will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Knoxville Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:00 pm on COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Fanselow who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Fanselow is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Fanselow -> 1.74
Alex Rybakov -> 2.01
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Fanselow vs. Alex Rybakov
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Fanselow and Alex Rybakov face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Fanselow (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Fanselow won 6-4 7-6(5) in the qualifications in the Cleveland Challenger back in 2022.
Sebastian Fanselow
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-23 | 7-8 | 6-9 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-31 | 24-9 | 20-15 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 5-11 | 17-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 17-13 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-15 | 34-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 338, Fanselow got to the qualifications after beating Kyle Kang 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Fanselow had a good straight sets win against Kang (6-3 6-3). During the match, Fanselow scored 72 points vs Kang’s 58. Sebastian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fanselow recorded 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Sebastian Fanselow was quite effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sebastian broke Kang 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Fanselow has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (310-198). 9-5 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fanselow has an aggregate 22-23 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The German’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,M25 Wetzlar,M25 Sintra and M25 Tavira.
Sebastian has a compiled 53-28 win-loss record in 2023, 9-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Knoxville Challenger
Alex Rybakov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-13 | 4-4 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 24-9 | 12-5 | 9-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 613, the American reached the qualifications after beating Nathan Ponwith 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Rybakov had a good straight sets win against Ponwith (6-4 6-4). During the match Rybakov scored 65 points vs Ponwith’s 55. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Rybakov struck 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alex Rybakov was extremely efficient on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rybakov broke Ponwith 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Marburg and M15 Ithaca.
The American has a composed 19-23 win-loss record in 2023, 7-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Knoxville Challenger
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fanselow | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 |
| Pts | 72-58 | 65-55 |
| Total Points | 130 | 120 |
| Winners | 25 | 28 |
| %Winners | 35% | 43% |
Both Fanselow and Rybakov played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Fanselow and Rybakov have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Fanselow played 2 games less than Rybakov. Fanselow scored 25 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Rybakov made 28 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fanselow | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 34/57 | 33/56 |
| %1st in | 60% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 28/33 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 12/23 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 52% |
Fanselow struck 3 aces . Rybakov scored 3 aces . Fanselow won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fanselow | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/14 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 29% | 75% |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Sebastian broke his opponent 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Rybakov broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fanselow | |||
| Q1 Kang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 72-58 | 72-58 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 34/57 | 34/57 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 25/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 13/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rybakov | |||
| Q1 Ponwith |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-55 | 65-55 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 33/56 | 33/56 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 28/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWLLL
LLWLLWLLWL 
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