Jack Draper and David Goffin will fight against each other in the final of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on COURT CENTRAL at 4:30 pm on BERGAMO ITALCEMENTI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.36
David Goffin -> 3.02
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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. David Goffin
There is no head to head record between Jack Draper and David Goffin since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 91, Jack got to the final after beating Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 6-4, Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-4, Billy Harris 6-2 6-3 and Brandon Nakashima 6-1 3-6 7-5.
In the semifinal, Jack defeated Nakashima (6-1 3-6 7-5). During the match, Draper scored 96 points vs Nakashima’s 86. Jack was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Draper bagged 17 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 66% of his first serves in, winning 77% (44/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Draper broke Nakashima 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jack has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Draper has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (182-80). 11-2 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Draper has an overall67-22 match record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
Jack’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Orleans Challenger.
Jack has an overall 29-13 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
David Goffin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-28 | 24-11 | 7-7 | 9-7 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-26 | 2-5 | 11-9 | 18-9 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-29 | 7-13 | 14-5 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-11 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, the Belgian got to the final after beating Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 6-4 7-64, Francesco Passaro 6-3 7-5, Alex Molcan 7-5 6-2 and Mark Lajal 6-74 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Lajal, The Belgian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-3 6-4). During the match Goffin scored 120 points vs Lajal’s 103. The Belgian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Talking about serving, Goffin bagged 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. David Goffin lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Goffin put 73% of his first serves in, winning 71% (52/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (13/27) on the 2nd serve. Goffin broke Lajal 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Neuve Challenger where he defeated Mikael Ymer in the final 6-4 6-1.
Goffin has an overall 34-23 win-loss record in 2023, 16-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draper | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 96 |
| Pts | 290-225 | 349-286 |
| Total Points | 515 | 635 |
| Winners | 124 | 151 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Both Draper and Goffin played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jack Draper conceded 1 set, while David Goffin dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Draper and Goffin have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Draper played 12 games less than Goffin. Jack scored 124 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Goffin made 151 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draper | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 39 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 9.8 | 6 |
| 1st in | 153/238 | 205/311 |
| %1st in | 64% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 124/153 | 151/205 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 48/85 | 57/106 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 54% |
Draper made 39 aces (9.8 per match). Goffin managed to score 24 aces (6 per match). Draper won 81% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Goffin won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draper | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 14 |
| Converted | 14/35 | 14/38 |
| % Converted | 40% | 37% |
| Conceded | 21 | 29 |
| Saved | 16 | 23 |
| % Saved | 76% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
The Brit broke his opponents 14 times with a 40% conversion rate. Jack lost his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The Belgian broke his opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. David conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draper | ||||||
| R1 Maestrelli |
R2 Vavassori |
1/4 Harris |
1/2 Nakashima |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-1 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 17 | 28 | 84 | |
| pts | 64-49 | 63-46 | 67-44 | 96-86 | 290-225 | |
| Total points | 113 | 109 | 111 | 182 | 515 | |
| Winners | 29 | 27 | 24 | 44 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% | 36% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 32/53 | 31/49 | 57/86 | 153/238 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 60% | 63% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 27/32 | 24/31 | 44/57 | 124/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 84% | 77% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 14/21 | 10/18 | 14/29 | 48/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 67% | 56% | 48% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 4/9 | 14/35 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 22% | 56% | 44% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/2 | 5/7 | 8/10 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 71% | 80% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Goffin | ||||||
| R1 Vincent |
R2 Passaro |
1/4 Molcan |
1/2 Lajal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-74 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 21 | 20 | 32 | 96 | |
| pts | 83-70 | 72-55 | 74-58 | 120-103 | 349-286 | |
| Total points | 153 | 127 | 132 | 223 | 635 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | 35 | 52 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% | 47% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/76 | 36/62 | 49/73 | 73/100 | 205/311 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 58% | 67% | 73% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 32/47 | 32/36 | 35/49 | 52/73 | 151/205 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 89% | 71% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 13/26 | 13/24 | 13/27 | 57/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 50% | 54% | 48% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/5 | 4/7 | 4/15 | 14/38 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 60% | 57% | 27% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 29 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/5 | 12/13 | 4/6 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 80% | 92% | 67% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jack DraperDraper – David GoffinGoffin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
