Novak Djokovic and Andrey Rublev will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.41
Andrey Rublev -> 2.91
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Andrey Rublev
This will be the 6th time that Novak Djokovic and Andrey Rublev fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Djokovic won 4-6 6-1 6-4 6-3 in the quarter in at the Wimbledon back in July 2023.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Andrey Rublev – Wimbledon 11-July-2023
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-5 | 26-1 | 11-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Serbian reached the semifinal after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-2, Tallon Griekspoor 4-6 7-62 6-4 and Holger Rune 7-5 6-73 6-4.
In the quarter, Novak defeated Rune (7-5 6-73 6-4). During the match, Djokovic scored 97 points vs Rune’s 92. Novak was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic made 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Novak Djokovic was quite effective on serve to win 83% (39/47) of his 1st serve and 64% (28/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Djokovic broke Rune 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a terrific match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (537-79). 4-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Djokovic has a compiled 84-14 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) and at the French Open where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(1) 6-3 7-5 and in Cincinnati where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4) and at the U.S. Open where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3.
Djokovic has a compiled 49-5 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Andrey reached the semifinal after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 6-4 6-3, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-3 and Alex De Minaur 4-6 6-3 6-1.
In the quarter against De Minaur, Rublev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Rublev scored 95 points vs De Minaur’s 80. Andrey was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Rublev recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 58% (21/36) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Russian broke De Minaur 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Carlo where he beat Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Andrey has a composed 56-22 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 63 |
| Pts | 257-237 | 211-168 |
| Total Points | 494 | 379 |
| Winners | 116 | 91 |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% |
Both Djokovic and Rublev played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic dropped 2 sets, while Andrey Rublev conceded 1 set. Djokovic has played 1 set more than Rublev (8 vs 7). Therefore, Djokovic played 22 games more than Rublev. The Serbian scored 116 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Rublev fired 91 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 145/249 | 108/182 |
| %1st in | 58% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 116/145 | 91/108 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 58/104 | 40/74 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 54% |
Djokovic fired 25 aces (8.3 per match). Rublev managed to score 20 aces (6.7 per match). Djokovic won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 10/22 |
| % Converted | 50% | 45% |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Saved | 7 | 4 |
| % Saved | 64% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
The Serbian broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Serbian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Rublev broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Andrey conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | |||||
| R2 Etcheverry |
R3 Griekspoor |
1/4 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 7-62 6-4 | 7-5 6-73 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 35 | 85 | |
| pts | 58-44 | 102-101 | 97-92 | 257-237 | |
| Total points | 102 | 203 | 189 | 494 | |
| Winners | 26 | 51 | 39 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 10 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 4 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 32/52 | 66/106 | 47/91 | 145/249 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | 52% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 51/66 | 39/47 | 116/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 77% | 83% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 18/40 | 28/44 | 58/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 45% | 64% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | 3/4 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/9 | 0/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 0% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Rublev | |||||
| R2 Nishioka |
R3 Van De Zandschulp |
1/4 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | 4-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 26 | 63 | |
| pts | 58-46 | 58-42 | 95-80 | 211-168 | |
| Total points | 104 | 100 | 175 | 379 | |
| Winners | 32 | 28 | 31 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 48% | 33% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 4 | 4 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 33/53 | 32/50 | 43/79 | 108/182 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 64% | 54% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 32/33 | 28/32 | 31/43 | 91/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 97% | 88% | 72% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 10/18 | 21/36 | 40/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 56% | 58% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/4 | 5/15 | 10/22 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 33% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 50% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW
LLLWLLWWLW Tennis Scores in Paris
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Harri Heliovaara/Mate PavicHeliovaara/Mate Pavic – Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Holger RuneRune (7-5 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury – Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow (6-74 7-66 10-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Holger RuneRune (7-5 6-7(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (4-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Andrey RublevRublev (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (1-6) – H2H and prediction
