David Goffin and Mark Lajal will square off in the semifinal of the Bergamo Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:30 pm on BERGAMO ITALCEMENTI. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is David Goffin who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, David Goffin is the pick to win this match.
David Goffin -> 1.41
Mark Lajal -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head David Goffin vs. Mark Lajal
There is no head to head record between David Goffin and Mark Lajal since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
David Goffin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-28 | 24-11 | 7-7 | 9-7 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-26 | 2-5 | 11-9 | 18-9 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-29 | 7-13 | 14-5 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-11 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, Goffin got to the semifinal after beating Samuel Vincent Ruggeri 6-4 7-64, Francesco Passaro 6-3 7-5 and Alex Molcan 7-5 6-2.
In the quarter, Goffin had a good straight sets win against Molcan (7-5 6-2). During the match, Goffin scored 74 points vs Molcan’s 58. Goffin was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Goffin blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, David Goffin was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (35/49) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Belgian broke Molcan 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Goffin hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Goffin has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (373-217). 15-6 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Goffin has a composed 100-54 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Neuve Challenger where he beat Mikael Ymer in the final 6-4 6-1.
David has an overall 33-23 win-loss record in 2023, 15-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
Mark Lajal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-30 | 18-14 | 0-3 | 15-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 25-16 | 5-2 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-24 | 35-12 | 2-6 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 217 (career-high), the Estonian reached the semifinal after defeating Ryan Nijboer 3-6 6-4 7-67, Jelle Sels 6-3 6-2, Ugo Blanchet 6-2 6-74 6-2 and Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-75 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter against Herbert, Mark recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 6-4). During the match Lajal scored 97 points vs Herbert’s 82. The Estonian was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Lajal blasted 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mark Lajal was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (43/50) of his 1st serve and 66% (21/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mark broke Herbert 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Estonian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Little Rock Challenger where he beat Beibit Zhukayev in the final 6-4 7-5.
Mark has an aggregate 45-27 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Goffin | Lajal |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 111 |
| Pts | 229-183 | 370-309 |
| Total Points | 412 | 679 |
| Winners | 99 | 174 |
| %Winners | 43% | 47% |
Goffin played 3 matches while Lajal competed in 4 matches. Lajal started his run from the qualifications while Goffin had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mark Lajal dropped 3 sets while David Goffin hasn’t dropped a set so far. Goffin has played 5 set(s) less than Lajal (6 vs 11). Therefore, Goffin played 47 games less than Lajal. David scored 99 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Lajal blasted 174 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Goffin | Lajal |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 132/211 | 225/338 |
| %1st in | 63% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 99/132 | 174/225 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 44/79 | 63/113 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 56% |
Goffin blasted 20 aces (6.7 per match). Lajal scored 31 aces (7.8 per match). Goffin won 75% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Lajal won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Goffin | Lajal |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 13 |
| Converted | 10/23 | 13/28 |
| % Converted | 43% | 46% |
| Conceded | 23 | 20 |
| Saved | 19 | 15 |
| % Saved | 83% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
David broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Belgian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Estonian broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Lajal conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Goffin | |||||
| R1 Vincent |
R2 Passaro |
1/4 Molcan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 21 | 20 | 64 | |
| pts | 83-70 | 72-55 | 74-58 | 229-183 | |
| Total points | 153 | 127 | 132 | 412 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | 35 | 99 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% | 47% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 47/76 | 36/62 | 49/73 | 132/211 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 58% | 67% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/47 | 32/36 | 35/49 | 99/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 89% | 71% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 13/26 | 13/24 | 44/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 50% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/5 | 4/7 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 60% | 57% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 13 | 23 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/5 | 12/13 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 80% | 92% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Lajal | |||||||
| Q1 Nijboer |
Q3 Herbert |
R1 Sels |
R2 Blanchet |
1/4 Herbert |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 7-67 | 7-612 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-74 6-2 | 6-75 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 22 | 17 | 29 | 33 | 133 | |
| pts | 107-106 | 82-97 | 61-38 | 105-83 | 97-82 | 452-406 | |
| Total points | 213 | 179 | 99 | 188 | 179 | 858 | |
| Winners | 55 | 45 | 28 | 48 | 43 | 219 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 55% | 46% | 46% | 44% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 9 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 78/118 | 64/97 | 34/51 | 63/87 | 50/82 | 289/435 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 67% | 72% | 61% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 55/78 | 45/64 | 28/34 | 48/63 | 43/50 | 219/289 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 70% | 82% | 76% | 86% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/40 | 19/33 | 9/17 | 15/24 | 21/32 | 82/146 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 58% | 53% | 63% | 66% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 1/2 | 4/5 | 4/12 | 3/7 | 14/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 80% | 33% | 43% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 27 | |
| Saved | 11/14 | 4/7 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 1/2 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 79% | 57% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWWW
LLWWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Bergamo Challenger
- Francisco Cabral/Henry PattenCabral/Henry Patten – Sander Arends/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaArends/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela (6-3 6-75 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- David GoffinGoffin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-1) – H2H and prediction
