Jack Draper and Brandon Nakashima will play each other in the semifinal of the Bergamo Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on BERGAMO ITALCEMENTI. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.6
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.27

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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 2^nd time that Jack Draper and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they played each other, Nakashima won 4-3(6) 1-4 4-2 4-3(5) in the semifinal in Next gen atp finals back in 2022.

Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Draper – Next gen atp finals 11-November-2022

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 91, Draper got to the semifinal after defeating Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 6-4, Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-4 and Billy Harris 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, Draper had a good straight sets win against Harris (6-2 6-3). During the match, Draper scored 67 points vs Harris’s 44. Jack was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Draper made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jack Draper was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Brit broke Harris 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Draper hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Draper has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (181-80). 10-2 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Draper has a compiled66-22 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

Draper’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Orleans Challenger.

Draper has an overall 28-13 win-loss record in 2023, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Bergamo Challenger

Jack has never competed in this tournament before.

Brandon Nakashima

Ranked no. 151, Brandon got to the semifinal after beating Mikhail Kukushkin 6-1 6-4, Liam Broady 6-4 6-0 and Fabio Fognini 6-1 7-5.

In the quarter, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-1 7-5). During the match Nakashima scored 67 points vs Fognini’s 48. Brandon was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Nakashima blasted 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was very efficient on serve to win 74% (29/39) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Fognini 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Brandon hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Nakashima’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Lyon.

Nakashima has an aggregate 17-24 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Draper	Nakashima
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	56	52
Pts	194-139	191-134
Total Points	333	325
Winners	80	86
%Winners	41%	45%

Both Draper and Nakashima played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Draper and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Draper played 4 games more than Nakashima. Jack scored 80 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima struck 86 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Draper	Nakashima
Aces	22	26
Avg per match	7.3	8.7
1st in	96/152	110/157
%1st in	63%	70%
1st pts	80/96	86/110
%1st pts	83%	78%
2nd pts	34/56	29/47
%2nd pts	61%	62%

Draper fired 22 aces (7.3 per match). Nakashima made 26 aces (8.7 per match). Draper won 83% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Draper	Nakashima
Won	10	11
Converted	10/26	11/27
% Converted	38%	41%
Conceded	11	10
Saved	8	9
% Saved	73%	90%
Times Broken	3	1

The Brit broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jack lost his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.

Draper
	R1 Maestrelli	R2 Vavassori	1/4 Harris	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	19	17	56
pts	64-49	63-46	67-44	194-139
Total points	113	109	111	333
Winners	29	27	24	80
%Winners	45%	43%	36%	41%
SERVE
Aces	7	8	7	22
Double Faults	0	2	1	3
1st in	33/50	32/53	31/49	96/152
% 1st in	66%	60%	63%	63%
1st pts	29/33	27/32	24/31	80/96
% 1st pts	88%	84%	77%	83%
2nd pts	10/17	14/21	10/18	34/56
% 2nd pts	59%	67%	56%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5	10
Converted	3/8	2/9	5/9	10/26
Converted %	38%	22%	56%	38%
Conceded	2	2	7	11
Saved	1/2	2/2	5/7	8
Saved %	50%	100%	71%	74%
Times Broken	1	0	2	3

Nakashima
	R1 Kukushkin	R2 Broady	1/4 Fognini	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-4 6-0	6-1 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	16	19	52
pts	62-45	62-41	67-48	191-134
Total points	107	103	115	325
Winners	28	29	29	86
%Winners	45%	47%	43%	45%
SERVE
Aces	13	8	5	26
Double Faults	0	0	0	0
1st in	36/54	35/47	39/56	110/157
% 1st in	67%	74%	70%	70%
1st pts	28/36	29/35	29/39	86/110
% 1st pts	78%	83%	74%	78%
2nd pts	11/18	6/12	12/17	29/47
% 2nd pts	61%	50%	71%	62%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	11
Converted	3/8	4/8	4/11	11/27
Converted %	38%	50%	36%	41%
Conceded	5	2	3	10
Saved	5/5	2/2	2/3	9
Saved %	100%	100%	67%	89%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Bergamo Challenger

• Francisco Cabral/Henry PattenCabral/Henry Patten – Sander Arends/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaArends/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela (6-3 6-7⁵ 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• David GoffinGoffin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-1) – H2H and prediction