Jack Draper and Brandon Nakashima will play each other in the semifinal of the Bergamo Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on BERGAMO ITALCEMENTI. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.6
Brandon Nakashima -> 2.27
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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 2nd time that Jack Draper and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Nakashima won 4-3(6) 1-4 4-2 4-3(5) in the semifinal in Next gen atp finals back in 2022.
Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Draper – Next gen atp finals 11-November-2022
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-20 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 91, Draper got to the semifinal after defeating Francesco Maestrelli 6-4 6-4, Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-4 and Billy Harris 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Draper had a good straight sets win against Harris (6-2 6-3). During the match, Draper scored 67 points vs Harris’s 44. Jack was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Draper made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jack Draper was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Brit broke Harris 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draper hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Draper has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 69% of his matches (181-80). 10-2 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Draper has a compiled66-22 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
Draper’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Orleans Challenger.
Draper has an overall 28-13 win-loss record in 2023, 10-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bergamo Challenger
Jack has never competed in this tournament before.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60-26 | 24-10 | 13-7 | 14-4 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 151, Brandon got to the semifinal after beating Mikhail Kukushkin 6-1 6-4, Liam Broady 6-4 6-0 and Fabio Fognini 6-1 7-5.
In the quarter, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Fognini (6-1 7-5). During the match Nakashima scored 67 points vs Fognini’s 48. Brandon was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima blasted 5 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was very efficient on serve to win 74% (29/39) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Fognini 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Brandon hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
Nakashima’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Lyon.
Nakashima has an aggregate 17-24 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draper | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 52 |
| Pts | 194-139 | 191-134 |
| Total Points | 333 | 325 |
| Winners | 80 | 86 |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% |
Both Draper and Nakashima played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Draper and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Draper played 4 games more than Nakashima. Jack scored 80 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima struck 86 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draper | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 7.3 | 8.7 |
| 1st in | 96/152 | 110/157 |
| %1st in | 63% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 80/96 | 86/110 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 34/56 | 29/47 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 62% |
Draper fired 22 aces (7.3 per match). Nakashima made 26 aces (8.7 per match). Draper won 83% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draper | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 11 |
| Converted | 10/26 | 11/27 |
| % Converted | 38% | 41% |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 73% | 90% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The Brit broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jack lost his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Brandon broke his opponents 11 times with a 41% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draper | |||||
| R1 Maestrelli |
R2 Vavassori |
1/4 Harris |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 17 | 56 | |
| pts | 64-49 | 63-46 | 67-44 | 194-139 | |
| Total points | 113 | 109 | 111 | 333 | |
| Winners | 29 | 27 | 24 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/50 | 32/53 | 31/49 | 96/152 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 60% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 29/33 | 27/32 | 24/31 | 80/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 84% | 77% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 14/21 | 10/18 | 34/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 67% | 56% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/9 | 5/9 | 10/26 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 22% | 56% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/2 | 5/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 71% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Nakashima | |||||
| R1 Kukushkin |
R2 Broady |
1/4 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 19 | 52 | |
| pts | 62-45 | 62-41 | 67-48 | 191-134 | |
| Total points | 107 | 103 | 115 | 325 | |
| Winners | 28 | 29 | 29 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 47% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | 8 | 5 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 36/54 | 35/47 | 39/56 | 110/157 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 74% | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 29/35 | 29/39 | 86/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 83% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 6/12 | 12/17 | 29/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 50% | 71% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/8 | 4/11 | 11/27 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 36% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 67% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLLWWWWWL
WLWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Bergamo Challenger
- Francisco Cabral/Henry PattenCabral/Henry Patten – Sander Arends/Miguel-Angel Reyes-VarelaArends/Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela (6-3 6-75 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- David GoffinGoffin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-1) – H2H and prediction
