Federico Coria and Alejandro Tabilo will face off in the quarter of the Guayaquil Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on Cancha Central. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.71
Alejandro Tabilo -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Alejandro Tabilo
This will be the 3rd time that Federico Coria and Alejandro Tabilo fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Coria and Tabilo (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they played, Tabilo won 7-5 6-7(4) 7-6(2) in the quarter in the Concepcion Challenger back in 2021.
Federico Coria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-19 | 0-1 | 23-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 78, Coria reached the quarter after defeating Gerard Campana Lee 6-0 5-7 6-1 and Franco Agamenone 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Agamenone, Federico recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Coria scored 86 points vs Agamenone’s 81. Coria was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Coria scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Federico Coria lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 79% of his first serves in, winning 62% (41/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Agamenone 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Federico has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Coria has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (459-282). 35-17 on clay in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Coria has an overall 443-237 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Concepcion Challenger where he beat Timofey Skatov in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Szczecin Challenger where he overcame Vit Kopriva in the final 6-1 7-6(4).
Coria has a composed 38-26 win-loss record in 2023, 35-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Alejandro Tabilo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-12 | 10-3 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-26 | 13-5 | 39-19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 7-6 | 23-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-30 | 13-9 | 22-15 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-11 | 5-2 | 11-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 125, the Chilean reached the quarter after defeating Juan Bautista Torres 6-4 6-1 and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 4-6 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Pucinelli De Almeida, Tabilo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Tabilo scored 86 points vs Pucinelli De Almeida’s 68. Tabilo was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Tabilo managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alejandro Tabilo lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tabilo put 70% of his first serves in, winning 65% (33/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Pucinelli De Almeida 8 times after converting 80% of his break points (8/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chilean has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Francavilla Challenger where he beat Benoit Paire in the final 6-1 7-5 and the Karlsruhe Challenger where he beat Giulio Zeppieri in the final 2-6 1-0 ret..
The Chilean has an aggregate 40-24 win-loss record in 2023, 33-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guayaquil Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 42 |
| Pts | 171-142 | 147-115 |
| Total Points | 313 | 262 |
| Winners | 76 | 54 |
| %Winners | 44% | 37% |
Both Coria and Tabilo played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Federico Coria dropped 2 sets, while Alejandro Tabilo dropped 1 set. Coria has played 1 set more than Tabilo (6 vs 5). Therefore, Coria played 12 games more than Tabilo. The Argentine scored 76 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean fired 54 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 128/167 | 79/122 |
| %1st in | 77% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 76/128 | 54/79 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 18/43 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 42% |
Coria fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Tabilo bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Coria won 59% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Tabilo won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 14 |
| Converted | 14/20 | 14/18 |
| % Converted | 70% | 78% |
| Conceded | 14 | 11 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 36% | 45% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 6 |
Federico broke his opponents 14 times with a 70% conversion rate. Federico dropped his serve 9 times and he saved 36% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 14 times with a 78% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | ||||
| R1 Campana |
R2 Agamenone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 5-7 6-1 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 29 | 54 | |
| pts | 85-61 | 86-81 | 171-142 | |
| Total points | 146 | 167 | 313 | |
| Winners | 35 | 41 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 62/83 | 66/84 | 128/167 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 79% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 35/62 | 41/66 | 76/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 62% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/18 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 61% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 9/11 | 5/9 | 14/20 | |
| Converted % | 82% | 56% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/8 | 2/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 33% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Tabilo | ||||
| R1 Bautista |
R2 Pucinelli De Almeida |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 42 | |
| pts | 61-47 | 86-68 | 147-115 | |
| Total points | 108 | 154 | 262 | |
| Winners | 21 | 33 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 38% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 51/73 | 79/122 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 70% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 33/51 | 54/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 65% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/21 | 9/22 | 18/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 41% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 8/10 | 14/18 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 80% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 4/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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